Product Marekt Fit Predictions & Odds· 184 markets
C
41%
Yes
W
What kind of product will OpenAI announce in 2026?
$114k Vol.
$6k Liq.
12
Ends in 9 months
$114k Vol.$6k Liq.12Ends in 9 months
38%
Necklace
W
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
$255k Vol.
$11k Liq.
32
Ends in 9 months
$255k Vol.$11k Liq.32Ends in 9 months
60%
Yes
W
Will Tesla release Optimus by...?
$69k Vol.
$20k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$69k Vol.$20k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
14%
December 31
W
Will Apple release a MacBook with cellular connectivity by June 30?
$6k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$6k Vol.$3k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
4%
Yes
W
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
$81k Vol.
$8k Liq.
38
Ends in 9 months
$81k Vol.$8k Liq.38Ends in 9 months
91%
Yes
W
Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?
$1k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$1k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 3 months
57%
Yes
W
When will Project Helix be released?
$0 Vol.
$135 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$135 Liq.Ends in 9 months
42%
May 31, 2027
A
Apple Vision Pro 2 released before 2027?
$2k Vol.
$4k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$2k Vol.$4k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
B
Brazil GDP Growth in Q1 2026?
$15k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$15k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
65%
1.5%–1.8%
W
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
$252k Vol.
$2k Liq.
31
Ended
$252k Vol.$2k Liq.31Ended
31%
Yes
N
Nikita Bier out as Head of Product at X by June 30?
$774 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$774 Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in 3 months
5%
Yes
J
Japan GDP growth in Q1 2026?
$257 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$257 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
44%
0.0–0.2%
U
UK GDP growth in Q1 2026?
$21k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$21k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
66%
0.0-0.3%
S
32%
0.5–0.9%
W
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027?
$23k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$23k Vol.$3k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
U
US recession by end of 2026?
$1.0m Vol.
$69k Liq.
63
Ends in 10 months
$1.0m Vol.$69k Liq.63Ends in 10 months
33%
Yes
C
56%
June 30, 2026
C
China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q1 2026?
$233k Vol.
$60k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
$233k Vol.$60k Liq.Ends in 15 days
52%
4.5-5.0%
G
Gemini 3.5 released by...?
$824k Vol.
$37k Liq.
49
Ends in 3 months
$824k Vol.$37k Liq.49Ends in 3 months
31%
June 30