Proposition 50 Predictions & Odds· 108 markets
B
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
$85k Vol.
$10k Liq.
-2
Ends in 3 months
$85k Vol.$10k Liq.-2Ends in 3 months
69%
Yes
B
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
$2.8m Vol.
$55k Liq.
13
Ends in 7 months
$2.8m Vol.$55k Liq.13Ends in 7 months
34%
Yes
C
93%
Democratic Party
W
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?
$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 7 months
80%
Yes
C
93%
Democratic Party
C
California voter ID referendum passes?
$4k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$4k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 7 months
22%
Yes
C
93%
Democratic Party
C
94%
Democratic Party
M
Economy
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?
$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$2k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
W
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
$237k Vol.
$51k Liq.
5
Ends in 19 days
$237k Vol.$51k Liq.5Ends in 19 days
92%
Yes
W
Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?
$344 Vol.
$404 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$344 Vol.$404 Liq.Ends in 7 months
17%
Yes
S
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?
$932k Vol.
$8k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$932k Vol.$8k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
51%
December 31
C
Politics
Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?
$0 Vol.
$209 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$209 Liq.Ends in 9 months
49%
Yes
A
Politics
Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?
$21k Vol.
$17k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$21k Vol.$17k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
4%
Yes
B
By what margin will the California redistricting referendum pass?
$364k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
$364k Vol.$0 Liq.4Ended
20-30%
C
California Legislature approves redistricting referendum by August 23?
$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
$8k Vol.$0 Liq.3Ended
Yes
L
Mamdani
L
California Proposition 50