Proposition 50 Predictions & Odds· 108 markets
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
$85k Vol.
$10k Liq.
-2
Ends in 3 months
$85k Vol.$10k Liq.-2Ends in 3 months
67%
Yes
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
$2.8m Vol.
$47k Liq.
14
Ends in 7 months
$2.8m Vol.$47k Liq.14Ends in 7 months
35%
Yes
93%
Democratic Party
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?
$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 7 months
79%
Yes
93%
Democratic Party
California voter ID referendum passes?
$0 Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 7 months
22%
Yes
93%
Democratic Party
94%
Democratic Party
Economy
Major U.S. bank bailout before 2027?
$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$2k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
$229k Vol.
$43k Liq.
5
Ends in 21 days
$229k Vol.$43k Liq.5Ends in 21 days
84%
Yes
Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?
$293 Vol.
$377 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$293 Vol.$377 Liq.Ends in 7 months
16%
Yes
Politics
Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?
$0 Vol.
$170 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$170 Liq.Ends in 9 months
48%
Yes
Politics
Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?
$20k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$20k Vol.$10k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
4%
Yes
By what margin will the California redistricting referendum pass?
$364k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended
$364k Vol.$0 Liq.4Ended
20-30%
California Legislature approves redistricting referendum by August 23?
$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
$8k Vol.$0 Liq.3Ended
Yes
Mamdani
California Proposition 50
