Q4 Predictions & Odds· 112 markets
U
US recession by end of 2026?
$1.1m Vol.
$63k Liq.
68
Ends in 10 months
$1.1m Vol.$63k Liq.68Ends in 10 months
32%
Yes
C
69%
4.0–5.0%
C
41%
Yes
E
38%
0-1.0%
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$76 Vol.
$825 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$76 Vol.$825 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
94%
Up
N
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
$16k Vol.
$8k Liq.
18
Ends in 10 months
$16k Vol.$8k Liq.18Ends in 10 months
13%
Yes
D
Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?
$19k Vol.
$1k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$19k Vol.$1k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
38%
Yes
G
62%
>2.5%
C
CA-04 Primary Winners
$11k Vol.
$94k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$11k Vol.$94k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
96%
Mike Thompson
T
86%
Republican Party
W
What will Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) hit in April 2026?
$776 Vol.
$283 Liq.
Ends in 28 days
$776 Vol.$283 Liq.Ends in 28 days
74%
↓ $570
G
96%
Democratic Party
N
91%
Republican Party
M
94%
Democratic Party
N
84%
Democratic Party
P
Peru Presidential Election First Round: 4th Place
$8k Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
$8k Vol.$28k Liq.Ends in 9 days
41%
Alfonso López Chau
W
83%
Republican Party
C
63%
Republican Party
N
94%
Democratic Party