Q4 Predictions & Odds· 112 markets
US recession by end of 2026?
$921k Vol.
$71k Liq.
51
Ends in 10 months
$921k Vol.$71k Liq.51Ends in 10 months
37%
Yes
72%
4.0–5.0%
43%
Yes
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
$16k Vol.
$8k Liq.
11
Ends in 10 months
$16k Vol.$8k Liq.11Ends in 10 months
15%
Yes
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$0 Vol.
$126 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$126 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Up
Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?
$19k Vol.
$1k Liq.
2
Ends in about 2 months
$19k Vol.$1k Liq.2Ends in about 2 months
37%
Yes
36%
1.0-2.0%
95%
Mike Thompson
86%
Republican Party
What will Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) hit in April 2026?
$5 Vol.
$53 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$5 Vol.$53 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
74%
↓ $580
96%
Democratic Party
91%
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
80%
Democratic Party
Peru Presidential Election First Round: 4th Place
$2k Vol.
$46k Liq.
Ends in 12 days
$2k Vol.$46k Liq.Ends in 12 days
30%
Fernando Olivera
83%
Republican Party
63%
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party