Q4 Predictions & Odds· 193 markets

US recession by end of 2026?
$923k Vol.
$77k Liq.
52
Ends in 10 months
$923k Vol.$77k Liq.52Ends in 10 months
38%
Yes

72%
4.0–5.0%

43%
Yes

Negative GDP growth in 2026?
$16k Vol.
$8k Liq.
11
Ends in 10 months
$16k Vol.$8k Liq.11Ends in 10 months
15%
Yes

Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$0 Vol.
$137 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$137 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Up

Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?
$19k Vol.
$1k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$19k Vol.$1k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
37%
Yes

36%
1.0-2.0%

saudi arabia · economics
Will Saudi Arabia boost oil production in Q4?
$21k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
$21k Vol.$0 Liq.3Ended
No


No

1.0–1.5%

4.5-5.0%

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