Q4 Predictions & Odds· 112 markets
U
US recession by end of 2026?
$1.0m Vol.
$66k Liq.
63
Ends in 10 months
$1.0m Vol.$66k Liq.63Ends in 10 months
33%
Yes
C
71%
4.0–5.0%
C
41%
Yes
N
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
$16k Vol.
$8k Liq.
17
Ends in 10 months
$16k Vol.$8k Liq.17Ends in 10 months
14%
Yes
E
35%
1.0-2.0%
D
Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?
$19k Vol.
$1k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$19k Vol.$1k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
38%
Yes
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$56 Vol.
$782 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$56 Vol.$782 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
87%
Up
G
62%
>2.5%
C
96%
Mike Thompson
T
86%
Republican Party
W
What will Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ) hit in April 2026?
$226 Vol.
$415 Liq.
Ends in 29 days
$226 Vol.$415 Liq.Ends in 29 days
88%
↓ $580
G
96%
Democratic Party
N
91%
Republican Party
M
94%
Democratic Party
N
79%
Democratic Party
P
Peru Presidential Election First Round: 4th Place
$2k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$2k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 10 days
42%
Alfonso López Chau
W
83%
Republican Party
C
63%
Republican Party
N
93%
Democratic Party