Q4 Predictions & Odds· 193 markets
U
US recession by end of 2026?
$1.0m Vol.
$69k Liq.
63
Ends in 10 months
$1.0m Vol.$69k Liq.63Ends in 10 months
33%
Yes
C
71%
4.0–5.0%
C
41%
Yes
N
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
$16k Vol.
$8k Liq.
17
Ends in 10 months
$16k Vol.$8k Liq.17Ends in 10 months
14%
Yes
E
37%
1.0-2.0%
D
Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?
$19k Vol.
$1k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$19k Vol.$1k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
38%
Yes
T
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$56 Vol.
$817 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$56 Vol.$817 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
87%
Up
G
62%
>2.5%
%2Bplaced%2Bon%2Ba%2Bvibrant%2Bgreen%2Barrow%2Bthat's%2Bshooting%2Bupwards%252C%2Bsymbolizing%2Bthe%2Brapid%2Bgrowth%2Band%2Bbullish%2Btre.webp&w=96&q=75){kind=small}
W
saudi arabia · economics
Will Saudi Arabia boost oil production in Q4?
$21k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended
$21k Vol.$0 Liq.3Ended
No
D
N
No
U
1.0–1.5%
C
4.5-5.0%