Races Predictions & Odds· 159 markets
W
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?
$3k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$3k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 7 months
77%
Yes
B
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$4.2m Vol.
$418k Liq.
141
Ends in 7 months
$4.2m Vol.$418k Liq.141Ends in 7 months
50%
Democrats Sweep
R
27%
≤47
R
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
$198k Vol.
$89k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$198k Vol.$89k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
31%
Below 190
H
51%
2
H
How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?
$4k Vol.
$11k Liq.
$4k Vol.$11k Liq.
81%
0
T
Turnout in Texas Senate Republican Primary Runoff
$4k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months
$4k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 2 months
39%
0.6–0.9M
H
40%
7-9
H
73%
4-6
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$57k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$57k Vol.$13k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
2%
Yes
H
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?
$39k Vol.
$42k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$39k Vol.$42k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
33%
24–25
M
Carlos Sainz
L
W
All
Will Charles Herbster win the Republican gubernatorial nomination in the 2022 Nebraska election on May 10?
$9k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$9k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
W
All
Will Max Verstappen win every remaining Grand Prix in 2023?
$144 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$144 Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
No
W
All
Will an American win the men’s race at Ultra-Trail du Mont Blanc?
$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$2k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
W
All
Will 538 outperform The Economist in forecasting the 2020 Presidential Election?
$81k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$81k Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
T
