Redistricting Predictions & Odds· 101 markets

W
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

$242k Vol.
$75k Liq.
5
Ends in 18 days

93%

Yes

N
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

73%

Yes

R
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

$198k Vol.
$110k Liq.
6
Ends in 7 months

35%

Below 190

W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

92%

Yes

W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

$0 Vol.
$13k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months

86%

Yes

2
2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

$3k Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

19%

115-120m

H
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

$592k Vol.
$44k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months

34%

24–25

R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

$59k Vol.
$16k Liq.
6
Ends in 7 months

3%

Yes

O
OR-06 House Election Winner

OR-06 House Election Winner

$0 Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

91%

Democratic Party

O
OR-01 House Election Winner

OR-01 House Election Winner

$0 Vol.
$50k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

93%

Democratic Party

O
OR-05 House Election Winner

OR-05 House Election Winner

$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

78%

Democratic Party

O
OR-03 House Election Winner

OR-03 House Election Winner

$487 Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

94%

Democratic Party

R
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

27%

≤47

A
AR-03 House Election Winner

AR-03 House Election Winner

$5k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

91%

Republican Party

I
IL-13 House Election Winner

IL-13 House Election Winner

$4k Vol.
$52k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

93%

Democratic Party

O
OR-02 House Election Winner

OR-02 House Election Winner

$3k Vol.
$60k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

91%

Republican Party

A
AR-02 House Election Winner

AR-02 House Election Winner

$0 Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

88%

Republican Party

A
AR-01 House Election Winner

AR-01 House Election Winner

$15k Vol.
$58k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

93%

Republican Party

O
OR-04 House Election Winner

OR-04 House Election Winner

$0 Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

90%

Democratic Party