Redistricting Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

$230k Vol.
$27k Liq.
5
Ends in 21 days

85%

Yes

Will Florida enact a redistricting law by March 31?

Will Florida enact a redistricting law by March 31?

$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ended

1%

Yes

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

$0 Vol.
$414 Liq.
Ends in 7 months

77%

Yes

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

$198k Vol.
$88k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months

31%

190-194

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?

92%

Yes

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$30k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 30 days

39%

April 30

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

$0 Vol.
$6k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months

82%

Yes

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

$1k Vol.
$45k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

20%

115-120m

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

$39k Vol.
$40k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months

33%

22–23

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

$57k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months

2%

Yes

OR-06 House Election Winner

OR-06 House Election Winner

$0 Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

91%

Democratic Party

OR-01 House Election Winner

OR-01 House Election Winner

$0 Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

93%

Democratic Party

OR-05 House Election Winner

OR-05 House Election Winner

$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

76%

Democratic Party

OR-03 House Election Winner

OR-03 House Election Winner

$0 Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

93%

Democratic Party

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

27%

≤47

AR-03 House Election Winner

AR-03 House Election Winner

$5k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

91%

Republican Party

OR-02 House Election Winner

OR-02 House Election Winner

$3k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

91%

Republican Party

AR-01 House Election Winner

AR-01 House Election Winner

$4k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

94%

Republican Party

OR-04 House Election Winner

OR-04 House Election Winner

$0 Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

89%

Democratic Party