Redistricting Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
$230k Vol.
$27k Liq.
5
Ends in 21 days
$230k Vol.$27k Liq.5Ends in 21 days
85%
Yes

1%
Yes

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?
$0 Vol.
$414 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$414 Liq.Ends in 7 months
77%
Yes

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
$198k Vol.
$88k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$198k Vol.$88k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
31%
190-194

Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
$2k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$2k Vol.$10k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
92%
Yes

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$30k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 30 days
$30k Vol.$14k Liq.4Ends in 30 days
39%
April 30

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$6k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$6k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
82%
Yes

20%
115-120m

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?
$39k Vol.
$40k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$39k Vol.$40k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
33%
22–23

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$57k Vol.
$12k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$57k Vol.$12k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
2%
Yes

91%
Democratic Party

93%
Democratic Party

76%
Democratic Party

93%
Democratic Party

27%
≤47

91%
Republican Party

40%
7-9

91%
Republican Party

94%
Republican Party

89%
Democratic Party