Referenda Predictions & Odds· 102 markets
W
Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?
$27 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$27 Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes
W
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
$237k Vol.
$78k Liq.
5
Ends in 18 days
$237k Vol.$78k Liq.5Ends in 18 days
92%
Yes
W
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?
$559k Vol.
$1k Liq.
27
Ended
$559k Vol.$1k Liq.27Ended
31%
Yes
B
Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
$20k Vol.
$61k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
$20k Vol.$61k Liq.Ends in 16 days
94%
GERB-SDS
S
23%
December 31
S
Spain snap election called in 2026?
$11k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$11k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in 9 months
27%
Yes
B
Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?
$37k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in 16 days
$37k Vol.$54k Liq.Ends in 16 days
51%
BSP
T
Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)
$99k Vol.
$29k Liq.
57
Ended
$99k Vol.$29k Liq.57Ended
44%
59-60%
P
Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory
$8k Vol.
$63k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
$8k Vol.$63k Liq.Ends in 9 days
47%
Keiko Fujimori 5%+
P
Peru Chamber of Deputies Election Winner
$32k Vol.
$61k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
$32k Vol.$61k Liq.Ends in 9 days
36%
FP
P
Peru Presidential Election First Round: Turnout
$3k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
$3k Vol.$40k Liq.Ends in 9 days
56%
70-75%
W
Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?
$133k Vol.
$111k Liq.
Ends in 9 days
$133k Vol.$111k Liq.Ends in 9 days
40%
Other
H
Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?
$41k Vol.
$41k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 days
$41k Vol.$41k Liq.2Ends in 9 days
72%
Mi Hazánk
I
Insurrection Act invoked by...?
$1.0m Vol.
$53k Liq.
71
Ends in 9 months
$1.0m Vol.$53k Liq.71Ends in 9 months
28%
December 31
T
43%
55-60%
H
Hungary Election: TISZA % of Popular Vote
$36k Vol.
$90k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 days
$36k Vol.$90k Liq.1Ends in 9 days
28%
54%+
C
California voter ID referendum passes?
$4k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$4k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 7 months
22%
Yes
H
Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner
$55.7m Vol.
$921k Liq.
🔥$3.4m today
131
Ends in 9 days
$55.7m Vol.🔥$3.4m today$921k Liq.131Ends in 9 days
70%
TISZA
R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$59k Vol.
$17k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$59k Vol.$17k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
3%
Yes