Referenda Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

W
Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?

Will Turkey Move on a New Constitution in 2026?

$27 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

18%

Yes

W
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?

$237k Vol.
$78k Liq.
5
Ends in 18 days

92%

Yes

W
Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

$559k Vol.
$1k Liq.
27
Ended

31%

Yes

B
Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

$20k Vol.
$61k Liq.
Ends in 16 days

94%

GERB-SDS

S
SAVE Act becomes law by...?

SAVE Act becomes law by...?

$243k Vol.
$51k Liq.
4
Ends in 27 days

23%

December 31

P
Peru Senate Election Winner

Peru Senate Election Winner

$15k Vol.
$51k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 days

33%

JP

S
Spain snap election called in 2026?

Spain snap election called in 2026?

$11k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

27%

Yes

B
Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?

Bulgarian Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?

$37k Vol.
$54k Liq.
Ends in 16 days

51%

BSP

T
Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)

44%

59-60%

P
Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

$8k Vol.
$63k Liq.
Ends in 9 days

47%

Keiko Fujimori 5%+

P
Peru Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

Peru Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

$32k Vol.
$61k Liq.
Ends in 9 days

36%

FP

P
Peru Presidential Election First Round: Turnout

Peru Presidential Election First Round: Turnout

$3k Vol.
$40k Liq.
Ends in 9 days

56%

70-75%

W
Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?

Which candidates advance to 2026 Peru presidential runoff?

$133k Vol.
$111k Liq.
Ends in 9 days

40%

Other

H
Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?

Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?

$41k Vol.
$41k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 days

72%

Mi Hazánk

I
Insurrection Act invoked by...?

Insurrection Act invoked by...?

$1.0m Vol.
$53k Liq.
71
Ends in 9 months

28%

December 31

T
Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election

Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election

$1.6m Vol.
$19k Liq.
363
Ended

43%

55-60%

H
Hungary Election: TISZA % of Popular Vote

Hungary Election: TISZA % of Popular Vote

$36k Vol.
$90k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 days

28%

54%+

C
California voter ID referendum passes?

California voter ID referendum passes?

$4k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

22%

Yes

H
Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

Hungary Parliamentary Election Winner

$55.7m Vol.
$921k Liq.
🔥$3.4m today
131
Ends in 9 days

70%

TISZA

R
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

$59k Vol.
$17k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months

3%

Yes