Referendum Predictions & Odds· 115 markets
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
$229k Vol.
$43k Liq.
5
Ends in 21 days
$229k Vol.$43k Liq.5Ends in 21 days
84%
Yes
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
$2.8m Vol.
$48k Liq.
14
Ends in 7 months
$2.8m Vol.$48k Liq.14Ends in 7 months
35%
Yes
Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?
$6k Vol.
$262 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$6k Vol.$262 Liq.Ends in 7 months
59%
Yes
Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?
$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 7 months
61%
Yes
Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?
$293 Vol.
$378 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$293 Vol.$378 Liq.Ends in 7 months
16%
Yes
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?
$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 7 months
79%
Yes
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$227k Vol.
$17k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$227k Vol.$17k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
12%
June 30
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
$124k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$124k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 9 months
45%
Yes
Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?
$240 Vol.
$246 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$240 Vol.$246 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
22%
Yes
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
California voter ID referendum passes?
$0 Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 7 months
22%
Yes
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
$29k Vol.
$9k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$29k Vol.$9k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
11%
Yes
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
$18k Vol.
$23k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$18k Vol.$23k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?
$0 Vol.
$382 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$382 Liq.Ends in 7 months
77%
Yes
Turnout in 2026 Slovenian Parliamentary Election
$127k Vol.
$23k Liq.
92
Ended
$127k Vol.$23k Liq.92Ended
84%
70–75%
Politics
Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?
$20k Vol.
$8k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$20k Vol.$8k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
4%
Yes
45%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$15k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$15k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
42%
April 30
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?
$4k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$4k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 3 months
9%
Yes