Referendums Predictions & Odds· 106 markets
California voter ID referendum passes?
$0 Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 7 months
22%
Yes
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
$2.8m Vol.
$68k Liq.
14
Ends in 7 months
$2.8m Vol.$68k Liq.14Ends in 7 months
35%
Yes
Will Michigan vote to rewrite the state Constitution?
$6k Vol.
$308 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$6k Vol.$308 Liq.Ends in 7 months
59%
Yes
Will the Virginia abortion protection amendment pass?
$0 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in 7 months
61%
Yes
Will the Missouri abortion & sex change for minors ban pass?
$293 Vol.
$567 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$293 Vol.$567 Liq.Ends in 7 months
16%
Yes
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass?
$0 Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 7 months
78%
Yes
Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?
$240 Vol.
$318 Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$240 Vol.$318 Liq.1Ends in 9 months
21%
Yes
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
$229k Vol.
$43k Liq.
5
Ends in 21 days
$229k Vol.$43k Liq.5Ends in 21 days
84%
Yes
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$227k Vol.
$17k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$227k Vol.$17k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
12%
June 30
Will Greenland vote for independence in 2026?
$18k Vol.
$36k Liq.
8
Ends in 9 months
$18k Vol.$36k Liq.8Ends in 9 months
8%
Yes
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
$124k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$124k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 9 months
43%
Yes
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
$29k Vol.
$3k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$29k Vol.$3k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
35%
Yes
45%
Yes
Thai Constitutional Court invalidates election?
$4k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$4k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 3 months
9%
Yes
Politics
Any US state legislature votes on secession by June 30, 2026?
$20k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$20k Vol.$10k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
4%
Yes
Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines by June 30?
$2k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 3 months
$2k Vol.$12k Liq.5Ends in 3 months
60%
Yes
Turnout in 2025 Honduran General Election (Smaller Brackets)
$97k Vol.
$22k Liq.
57
Ended
$97k Vol.$22k Liq.57Ended
50%
59-60%