Renoir Predictions & Odds· 102 markets

A
Any of the stolen paintings recovered by April 15?

Any of the stolen paintings recovered by April 15?

$313 Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 13 days

9%

Yes

W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$40k Vol.
$13k Liq.
13
Ends in 28 days

32%

April 30

N
NCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets

NCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets

$29k Vol.
$2k Liq.
4
Ends in 5 days

74%

51–60

A
Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

Anthropic Claude score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

$56k Vol.
$2k Liq.
11
Ends in 3 months

76%

Yes

E
Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?

$443k Vol.
$784k Liq.
🔥$182k today
Ends in 9 days

13%

240-259

P
Palantir (PLTR) closes week of Mar 30 at ___?

Palantir (PLTR) closes week of Mar 30 at ___?

$2k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 2 days

18%

$150-$152

E
Elon Musk # tweets April 2 - April 4, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets April 2 - April 4, 2026?

$197k Vol.
$65k Liq.
🔥$121k today
Ends in 3 days

39%

65-89

E
Elon Musk # tweets March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets March 31 - April 7, 2026?

$4.6m Vol.
$729k Liq.
🔥$700k today
1
Ends in 6 days

16%

280-299

W
What price will Ethereum hit on April 1?

What price will Ethereum hit on April 1?

$45k Vol.
$111k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours

15%

↓ 2,100

E
Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?

$16.8m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$2.8m today
3
Ends in 1 day

42%

260-279

O
Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

22%

Yes

S
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 1?

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 1?

$364k Vol.
$274k Liq.
🔥$352k today
Ended

100%

Up

W
What will iShares MSCI South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in April 2026?

What will iShares MSCI South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in April 2026?

$2k Vol.
$60 Liq.
Ends in 29 days

50%

↑ $144

D
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 39 minutes

50%

Up

D
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 1, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET

$0 Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in 9 minutes

50%

Up

D
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 1, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours

50%

Up

E
Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Ethereum Up or Down - April 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

$0 Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 17 hours

50%

Up

N
Number of US Flights Delayed March 29?

Number of US Flights Delayed March 29?

$22k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ended

0%

Yes

A
Apple (AAPL) closes week of Mar 30 at ___?

Apple (AAPL) closes week of Mar 30 at ___?

$8k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 2 days

45%

$255-$260

D
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

$0 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours

50%

Up