Resign Predictions & Odds· 207 markets
Tony Gonzalez out as US Rep by March 31?
$2k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in about 14 hours
$2k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
5%
Yes
Will Tim Walz resign by...?
$2.5m Vol.
$42k Liq.
43
Ends in 3 months
$2.5m Vol.$42k Liq.43Ends in 3 months
9%
Before 2027
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
$404k Vol.
$128k Liq.
21
Ends in 9 months
$404k Vol.$128k Liq.21Ends in 9 months
7%
Yes
Will Ilhan Omar resign by March 31?
$1.6m Vol.
$30k Liq.
22
Ends in about 14 hours
$1.6m Vol.$30k Liq.22Ends in about 14 hours
0%
Yes
6%
Yes
Netanyahu out by...?
$88.1m Vol.
$5.1m Liq.
🔥$5.5m today
32
Ends in 9 months
$88.1m Vol.🔥$5.5m today$5.1m Liq.32Ends in 9 months
46%
December 31
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.5m Vol.
$264k Liq.
🔥$351k today
Ends in 9 months
$2.5m Vol.🔥$351k today$264k Liq.Ends in 9 months
57%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
$34k Vol.
$13k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$34k Vol.$13k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
$94k Vol.
$16k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$94k Vol.$16k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
42%
December 31, 2026
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by...?
$107k Vol.
$7k Liq.
54
Ends in 3 months
$107k Vol.$7k Liq.54Ends in 3 months
76%
Yes
Trump out as President by March 31?
$13.4m Vol.
$3.5m Liq.
🔥$544k today
Ends in about 14 hours
$13.4m Vol.🔥$544k today$3.5m Liq.Ends in about 14 hours
0%
Yes
Venezuela leader end of 2026?
$78.5m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$293k today
213
Ends in 9 months
$78.5m Vol.🔥$293k today$1.2m Liq.213Ends in 9 months
65%
Delcy Rodríguez
Iran leadership change by...?
$5.2m Vol.
$207k Liq.
🔥$129k today
885
Ends in 9 months
$5.2m Vol.🔥$129k today$207k Liq.885Ends in 9 months
54%
December 31
Trump out as President by April 30?
$190k Vol.
$133k Liq.
🔥$79k today
Ends in about 1 month
$190k Vol.🔥$79k today$133k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
2%
Yes
Trump out as President by June 30?
$1.7m Vol.
$605k Liq.
🔥$63k today
Ends in 3 months
$1.7m Vol.🔥$63k today$605k Liq.Ends in 3 months
7%
Yes
Geopolitics · World
Next leader out of power before 2027?
$3.4m Vol.
$498k Liq.
🔥$50k today
Ends in 9 months
$3.4m Vol.🔥$50k today$498k Liq.Ends in 9 months
60%
Orbán - Hungary PM
61%
December 31
Trump out as President before 2027?
$5.3m Vol.
$374k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$5.3m Vol.$374k Liq.Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
$2.0m Vol.
$53k Liq.
89
Ends in 9 months
$2.0m Vol.$53k Liq.89Ends in 9 months
25%
Yes