Safety Predictions & Odds· 228 markets
U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
$73k Vol.
$7k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$73k Vol.$7k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
44%
Yes
W
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
$45k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in 30 days
$45k Vol.$10k Liq.3Ends in 30 days
16%
Yes
W
What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (April 3)
$10 Vol.
$449 Liq.
Ends in 3 days
$10 Vol.$449 Liq.Ends in 3 days
81%
Trump
W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$30k Vol.
$16k Liq.
4
Ends in 30 days
$30k Vol.$16k Liq.4Ends in 30 days
39%
April 30
W
What will DAX (DAX) hit in March?
$3k Vol.
$847 Liq.
Ends in about 21 hours
$3k Vol.$847 Liq.Ends in about 21 hours
47%
↓ 19200
W
What will Dow Jones (DJIA) hit in March?
$4k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 21 hours
$4k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 21 hours
40%
↓ 39000
W
What price will Ethereum hit in March?
$24.9m Vol.
$2.6m Liq.
🔥$909k today
1
Ends in about 21 hours
$24.9m Vol.🔥$909k today$2.6m Liq.1Ends in about 21 hours
0%
↓ 1,800
N
NCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets
$28k Vol.
$1k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 days
$28k Vol.$1k Liq.4Ends in 7 days
36%
71–80
W
What will iShares MSCI South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in April 2026?
$0 Vol.
$28 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$28 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
50%
↑ $144
H
62%
13
N
55%
5,000-5,500
E
Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?
$45k Vol.
$229k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$45k Vol.$229k Liq.Ends in 10 days
15%
220-239
N
0%
Yes
N
40%
6,500-7,000
E
Elon Musk # tweets April 2 - April 4, 2026?
$36k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$36k Vol.$49k Liq.Ends in 4 days
33%
65-89
E
Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$12.8m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$914k today
3
Ends in 3 days
$12.8m Vol.🔥$914k today$1.2m Liq.3Ends in 3 days
25%
220-239
E
Elon Musk # tweets March 28 - March 30, 2026?
$3.6m Vol.
$750k Liq.
🔥$1.3m today
2
Ended
$3.6m Vol.🔥$1.3m today$750k Liq.2Ended
0%
90-114
E
Elon Musk # tweets March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$3.6m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$1.3m today
1
Ends in 7 days
$3.6m Vol.🔥$1.3m today$1.2m Liq.1Ends in 7 days
13%
280-299