Safety Predictions & Odds· 228 markets

U
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

$73k Vol.
$7k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months

44%

Yes

W
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

$45k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in 30 days

16%

Yes

W
What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (April 3)

What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (April 3)

$10 Vol.
$449 Liq.
Ends in 3 days

81%

Trump

W
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$30k Vol.
$16k Liq.
4
Ends in 30 days

39%

April 30

W
What will DAX (DAX) hit in March?

What will DAX (DAX) hit in March?

$3k Vol.
$847 Liq.
Ends in about 21 hours

47%

↓ 19200

W
What will Dow Jones (DJIA) hit in March?

What will Dow Jones (DJIA) hit in March?

$4k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 21 hours

40%

↓ 39000

W
What price will Ethereum hit in March?

What price will Ethereum hit in March?

$24.9m Vol.
$2.6m Liq.
🔥$909k today
1
Ends in about 21 hours

0%

↓ 1,800

O
Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 30?

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 30?

$1k Vol.
$215 Liq.
Ended

0%

Yes

O
Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 31?

Over 500 US flights cancelled on March 31?

$488 Vol.
$322 Liq.
Ended

6%

Yes

N
NCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets

NCAA Tournament: Number of Rothstein “This is March” tweets

$28k Vol.
$1k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 days

36%

71–80

W
What will iShares MSCI South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in April 2026?

What will iShares MSCI South Korea ETF (EWY) hit in April 2026?

$0 Vol.
$28 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month

50%

↑ $144

H
How many SpaceX launches in April?

How many SpaceX launches in April?

$15k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 30 days

62%

13

N
Number of US Flights Delayed March 30?

Number of US Flights Delayed March 30?

$4k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended

55%

5,000-5,500

E
Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets April 3 - April 10, 2026?

$45k Vol.
$229k Liq.
Ends in 10 days

15%

220-239

N
Number of US Flights Delayed March 29?

Number of US Flights Delayed March 29?

$22k Vol.
$195k Liq.
Ended

0%

Yes

N
Number of US Flights Delayed March 31?

Number of US Flights Delayed March 31?

$350 Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ended

40%

6,500-7,000

E
Elon Musk # tweets April 2 - April 4, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets April 2 - April 4, 2026?

$36k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in 4 days

33%

65-89

E
Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets March 27 - April 3, 2026?

$12.8m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$914k today
3
Ends in 3 days

25%

220-239

E
Elon Musk # tweets March 28 - March 30, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets March 28 - March 30, 2026?

$3.6m Vol.
$750k Liq.
🔥$1.3m today
2
Ended

0%

90-114

E
Elon Musk # tweets March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets March 31 - April 7, 2026?

$3.6m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$1.3m today
1
Ends in 7 days

13%

280-299