Scholz Predictions & Odds· 103 markets

W
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by...?

Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by...?

$676k Vol.
$15k Liq.
323
Ended

79%

Yes

W
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?

Will Russia capture all of Lyman by...?

$125k Vol.
$54k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months

66%

December 31

R
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 3?

Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 3?

$5k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 12 hours

17%

Yes

F
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

$54k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

14%

Yes

R
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?

3%

Yes

W
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

$1.2m Vol.
$30k Liq.
166
Ends in 3 months

7%

Yes

R
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?

4%

Yes

W
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?

$35k Vol.
$24k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

14%

Yes

W
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by April 30?

Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by April 30?

$87k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in 27 days

14%

Yes

R
Russian strike on Poland by...?

Russian strike on Poland by...?

$1.9m Vol.
$13k Liq.
245
Ended

5%

Yes

W
Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by...?

Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by...?

$60k Vol.
$16k Liq.
1
Ends in 27 days

9%

Yes

W
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...?

Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by...?

$67k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ended

4%

Yes

W
Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by...?

Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by...?

$83k Vol.
$9k Liq.
4
Ended

6%

Yes

I
IN-09 House Election Winner

IN-09 House Election Winner

$0 Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in 7 months

90%

Republican Party

B
Bundesliga Winner

Sports · Soccer

Bundesliga Winner

$3.2m Vol.
$191k Liq.
13
Ends in about 2 months

99%

Bayern Munich

W
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?

Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by...?

$900k Vol.
$22k Liq.
185
Ends in 27 days

7%

Yes

R
Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality on...?

Russia strike impacts Kyiv municipality on...?

$1.5m Vol.
$634 Liq.
Ended

5%

Yes

W
Will Russia enter Borova by...?

Will Russia enter Borova by...?

$135k Vol.
$7k Liq.
17
Ends in 27 days

7%

Yes

G
Germany confidence vote in 2024?

Germany confidence vote in 2024?

$387k Vol.
$0 Liq.
110
Ended

Yes

S
Scholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024?

Scholz out as chancellor of Germany in 2024?

$627k Vol.
$0 Liq.
67
Ended

No