Sciene Predictions & Odds· 173 markets
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.5m Vol.
$177k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$2.5m Vol.$177k Liq.Ends in 9 months
59%
Lori Chavez-DeRemer
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?
$22.1m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$423k today
819
Ends in 9 months
$22.1m Vol.🔥$423k today$1.3m Liq.819Ends in 9 months
17%
December 31
What will SpaceX's public ticker be?
$4.0m Vol.
$169k Liq.
🔥$60k today
171
Ends in over 1 year
$4.0m Vol.🔥$60k today$169k Liq.171Ends in over 1 year
63%
Other
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?
$75k Vol.
$25k Liq.
🔥$52k today
Ends in 2 months
$75k Vol.🔥$52k today$25k Liq.Ends in 2 months
99%
April 30
Earthquakes · Science
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?
$46k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$46k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 5 days
51%
1
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
$7.5m Vol.
$32k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$7.5m Vol.$32k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
97%
↑2k
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
$1.1m Vol.
$28k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$1.1m Vol.$28k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
28%
14–16
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
$1.8m Vol.
$85k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
$1.8m Vol.$85k Liq.22Ends in 3 months
67%
8+
Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?
$1.2m Vol.
$82k Liq.
18
Ends in over 1 year
$1.2m Vol.$82k Liq.18Ends in over 1 year
40%
Goldman Sachs
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
$2.4m Vol.
$114k Liq.
20
Ends in 9 months
$2.4m Vol.$114k Liq.20Ends in 9 months
45%
2
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$904k Vol.
$123k Liq.
18
Ends in over 1 year
$904k Vol.$123k Liq.18Ends in over 1 year
93%
>$1T
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)
$2.9m Vol.
$223k Liq.
43
Ends in over 1 year
$2.9m Vol.$223k Liq.43Ends in over 1 year
94%
1T+
Measles · Pandemics
Measles cases in U.S. by April 30?
$38k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 30 days
$38k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 30 days
90%
1800
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)
$652k Vol.
$98k Liq.
9
Ends in over 1 year
$652k Vol.$98k Liq.9Ends in over 1 year
47%
2.0T+
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$530k Vol.
$20k Liq.
27
Ends in 9 months
$530k Vol.$20k Liq.27Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes