Shoot Down Predictions & Odds· 102 markets
US downs a Mexican cartel drone by March 31?
$17k Vol.
$8k Liq.
2
Ends in about 11 hours
$17k Vol.$8k Liq.2Ends in about 11 hours
2%
Yes
Ukraine hits Moscow by...?
$139k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$139k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
12%
April 30
31%
December 31, 2026
17%
Isfahan nuclear facility
Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?
$24k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$24k Vol.$26k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
88%
April 1
Hezbollah military action against Israel on...?
$2.4m Vol.
$17k Liq.
🔥$644k today
1
Ends in about 11 hours
$2.4m Vol.🔥$644k today$17k Liq.1Ends in about 11 hours
84%
March 30
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
$312k Vol.
$11k Liq.
27
Ends in about 11 hours
$312k Vol.$11k Liq.27Ends in about 11 hours
0%
Yes
Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by...?
$45k Vol.
$6k Liq.
10
Ends in 15 days
$45k Vol.$6k Liq.10Ends in 15 days
78%
April 15
Pakistan military action against Kabul by...?
$20k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in 15 days
$20k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in 15 days
50%
April 15
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?
$9k Vol.
$9k Liq.
6
Ends in about 1 month
$9k Vol.$9k Liq.6Ends in about 1 month
73%
Yes
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?
$15k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ended
$15k Vol.$5k Liq.Ended
4%
Yes
Israel strike on Damascus by...?
$166k Vol.
$6k Liq.
32
Ends in about 11 hours
$166k Vol.$6k Liq.32Ends in about 11 hours
5%
Yes
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?
$21k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$21k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
32%
Yes
46%
Yes
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
$1.4m Vol.
$121k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$1.4m Vol.$121k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
21%
December 31
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by...?
$40k Vol.
$19k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$40k Vol.$19k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
27%
April 30
Iran military action against Israel on...?
$3k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$3k Vol.$35k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
86%
April 1
24%
December 31
Russian strike on a NATO member by...?
$1.7m Vol.
$10k Liq.
24
Ends in about 11 hours
$1.7m Vol.$10k Liq.24Ends in about 11 hours
1%
Yes