Silicon Data Predictions & Odds· 104 markets

G
GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ in February?

GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ in February?

$337k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

↑ $2.35

W
What will be said on the next All-In Podcast? (March 27)

Dario / Amodei

S
Scarlett Johansson sues OpenAI in May?

Scarlett Johansson sues OpenAI in May?

$16k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

No

O
OpenAI apologizes to Scarlett Johansson by Friday?

OpenAI apologizes to Scarlett Johansson by Friday?

$30k Vol.
$0 Liq.
23
Ended

Yes

M
Monad FDV one day after launch?

Monad FDV one day after launch?

$53.8m Vol.
$0 Liq.
1,263
Ends in 3 months

>$2B

#
# of Elon Musk tweets between May 24 and May 31?

# of Elon Musk tweets between May 24 and May 31?

$250k Vol.
$0 Liq.
18
Ended

<55

S
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before July?

Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before July?

$17k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

W
Will Stanley Tang lose all his chips? - Million Dollar Game Day 4

Million Dollar Game · Poker warning

Will Stanley Tang lose all his chips? - Million Dollar Game Day 4

$1k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

No

C
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?

$18k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

#
# of Elon Musk tweets between May 3 and May 10?

Twitter · X

# of Elon Musk tweets between May 3 and May 10?

$491k Vol.
$0 Liq.
33
Ended

90-104

L
LockBit releases hacked London Drugs data by noon Friday?

Business · hacker

LockBit releases hacked London Drugs data by noon Friday?

$3k Vol.
$0 Liq.
25
Ended

Yes

#
# of Elon Musk tweets between May 17 and May 24?

# of Elon Musk tweets between May 17 and May 24?

$275k Vol.
$0 Liq.
19
Ended

75-84

C
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 15?

ChatGPT Full Outage by March 15?

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

#
# of Elon Musk tweets between May 10 and May 17?

# of Elon Musk tweets between May 10 and May 17?

$487k Vol.
$0 Liq.
36
Ended

<60

C
ChatGPT Outage by March 15?

ChatGPT Outage by March 15?

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

C
ChatGPT Outage by...?

ChatGPT Outage by...?

$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

April 15

M
Monad airdrop by...?

Monad airdrop by...?

$24.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
995
Ends in 3 months

June 30

C
ChatGPT Full Outage by February 28?

ChatGPT Full Outage by February 28?

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

D
Dow Jones (DJI) Up or Down - October 15

Dow Jones (DJI) Up or Down - October 15

$1k Vol.
$0 Liq.
6
Ended

Down

C
ChatGPT Full Outage by February 28?

ChatGPT Full Outage by February 28?

$21k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes