Silicon Data Predictions & Odds· 102 markets
GPU rental prices (H100) hit___ by April 30?
$310k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$310k Vol.$36k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
61%
↑ $2.75
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in Q1, 2026?
$0 Vol.
$142 Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$0 Vol.$142 Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Up
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
$100k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$100k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
27%
Yes
22%
December 31, 2026
Tech Layoffs Up or Down in February, 2026?
$6k Vol.
$1k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$6k Vol.$1k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
9%
Up
ChatGPT Full Outage by March 31?
$13k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$13k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
2%
Yes
77%
Up
8%
Yes
45%
Yes
Middle East · Iran Regime
Internet Access restored in Iran by...?
$101k Vol.
$15k Liq.
27
Ends in about 1 month
$101k Vol.$15k Liq.27Ends in about 1 month
18%
April 30
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?
$12k Vol.
$3k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$12k Vol.$3k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
35%
Yes
What will Dow Jones (DJIA) hit in March?
$889 Vol.
$747 Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$889 Vol.$747 Liq.Ends in 1 day
46%
↓ 43200
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
$38k Vol.
$19k Liq.
8
Ends in about 1 year
$38k Vol.$19k Liq.8Ends in about 1 year
12%
Yes
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
$241k Vol.
$8k Liq.
31
Ended
$241k Vol.$8k Liq.31Ended
44%
December 31, 2026
25%
Yes
50%
Up
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$666k Vol.
$20k Liq.
9
Ends in about 1 year
$666k Vol.$20k Liq.9Ends in about 1 year
43%
1
Khamenei # posts March 24 - March 31, 2026?
$26k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$26k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 1 day
94%
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