Clima Predictions & Odds· 151 markets
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
$38k Vol.
$19k Liq.
8
Ends in about 1 year
$38k Vol.$19k Liq.8Ends in about 1 year
12%
Yes
What will SpaceX's public ticker be?
$3.9m Vol.
$190k Liq.
🔥$86k today
170
Ends in almost 2 years
$3.9m Vol.🔥$86k today$190k Liq.170Ends in almost 2 years
63%
Other
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
$7.5m Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$7.5m Vol.$32k Liq.Ends in 9 months
98%
↑2k
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)
$2.9m Vol.
$218k Liq.
42
Ends in almost 2 years
$2.9m Vol.$218k Liq.42Ends in almost 2 years
94%
1T+
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
$1.1m Vol.
$34k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$1.1m Vol.$34k Liq.Ends in 9 months
28%
11–13
83%
April 30
Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?
$1.2m Vol.
$91k Liq.
16
Ends in almost 2 years
$1.2m Vol.$91k Liq.16Ends in almost 2 years
36%
Goldman Sachs
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
$1.8m Vol.
$88k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
$1.8m Vol.$88k Liq.22Ends in 3 months
67%
8+
Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?
$387k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$387k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
1%
1600
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$666k Vol.
$20k Liq.
9
Ends in about 1 year
$666k Vol.$20k Liq.9Ends in about 1 year
43%
1
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)
$652k Vol.
$96k Liq.
8
Ends in almost 2 years
$652k Vol.$96k Liq.8Ends in almost 2 years
46%
2.0T+
Precipitation in Seattle in March?
$322k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$322k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
95%
5-6"
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
$348k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$348k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in 9 months
35%
<5
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$1.6m Vol.
$260k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$1.6m Vol.$260k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
90%
SpaceX
Precipitation in NYC in March?
$173k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 9 hours
$173k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 9 hours
82%
3-4"
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$892k Vol.
$123k Liq.
17
Ends in almost 2 years
$892k Vol.$123k Liq.17Ends in almost 2 years
94%
>$1T
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$528k Vol.
$27k Liq.
26
Ends in 9 months
$528k Vol.$27k Liq.26Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes
March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
$208k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$208k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 10 days
45%
1.25–1.29ºC
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$168k Vol.
$12k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$168k Vol.$12k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes