Space Travel Predictions & Odds· 154 markets

Space FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$448k Vol.
$80k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$448k Vol.$80k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
68%
$5M

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
$348k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$348k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 9 months
37%
<5

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?
$677k Vol.
$414k Liq.
🔥$136k today
18
Ends in 9 months
$677k Vol.🔥$136k today$414k Liq.18Ends in 9 months
93%
December 31

43%
Yes

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
$139k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$139k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
$57k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years
$57k Vol.$3k Liq.1Ends in almost 2 years
96%
SpaceX

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
$102k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$102k Vol.$12k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes

52%
1.5T-2.0T

94%
April 30

26%
70-80B

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)
$652k Vol.
$83k Liq.
9
Ends in almost 2 years
$652k Vol.$83k Liq.9Ends in almost 2 years
47%
2.0T+

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$1.6m Vol.
$231k Liq.
10
Ends in 9 months
$1.6m Vol.$231k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
90%
SpaceX

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
$246k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$246k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 9 months
35%
160-179

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?
$706k Vol.
$49k Liq.
27
Ends in 9 months
$706k Vol.$49k Liq.27Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes

30%
Yes

How many SpaceX launches in April?
$15k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$15k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
61%
13