Space Predictions & Odds· 171 markets

Major Space Weather event this week? (March 29 - April 4)
$7k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$7k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 5 days
98%
Yes

Space FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$447k Vol.
$81k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$447k Vol.$81k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
71%
$5M

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
$347k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$347k Vol.$26k Liq.Ends in 9 months
38%
5-6

SpaceX IPO by ___ ?
$636k Vol.
$328k Liq.
🔥$106k today
11
Ends in 9 months
$636k Vol.🔥$106k today$328k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
93%
December 31

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
$139k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$139k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 9 months
18%
Yes

43%
Yes

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
$102k Vol.
$12k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$102k Vol.$12k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes

Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
$57k Vol.
$4k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years
$57k Vol.$4k Liq.1Ends in almost 2 years
95%
SpaceX

52%
1.5T-2.0T

NASA Artemis II
$697k Vol.
$26k Liq.
94
Ends in about 16 hours
$697k Vol.$26k Liq.94Ends in about 16 hours
83%
April 30

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$1.6m Vol.
$260k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$1.6m Vol.$260k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
90%
SpaceX

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)
$648k Vol.
$98k Liq.
8
Ends in almost 2 years
$648k Vol.$98k Liq.8Ends in almost 2 years
46%
2.0T+

26%
70-80B

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?
$706k Vol.
$44k Liq.
25
Ends in 9 months
$706k Vol.$44k Liq.25Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes

30%
Yes

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
$244k Vol.
$26k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$244k Vol.$26k Liq.Ends in 9 months
34%
160-179