Space Predictions & Odds· 430 markets
S
Space FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$448k Vol.
$81k Liq.
32
Ends in 9 months
$448k Vol.$81k Liq.32Ends in 9 months
67%
$5M
H
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
$403k Vol.
$26k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$403k Vol.$26k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
38%
<5
S
SpaceX IPO by ___ ?
$750k Vol.
$323k Liq.
🔥$85k today
23
Ends in 9 months
$750k Vol.🔥$85k today$323k Liq.23Ends in 9 months
91%
December 31
M
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
$140k Vol.
$19k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$140k Vol.$19k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
5
43%
Yes
1
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
$102k Vol.
$12k Liq.
7
Ends in 9 months
$102k Vol.$12k Liq.7Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
W
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
$57k Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in over 1 year
$57k Vol.$7k Liq.2Ends in over 1 year
96%
SpaceX
1
7%
Yes
H
26%
70-80B
S
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)
$653k Vol.
$98k Liq.
9
Ends in over 1 year
$653k Vol.$98k Liq.9Ends in over 1 year
47%
2.0T+
L
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
$1.6m Vol.
$261k Liq.
11
Ends in 9 months
$1.6m Vol.$261k Liq.11Ends in 9 months
90%
SpaceX
H
How many SpaceX launches in 2026?
$246k Vol.
$32k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$246k Vol.$32k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
34%
160-179
W
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?
$706k Vol.
$44k Liq.
28
Ends in 9 months
$706k Vol.$44k Liq.28Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes
N
30%
Yes
H
62%
13