Speaker Predictions & Odds· 197 markets

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

$94k Vol.
$13k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months

34%

December 31, 2026

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

$4.1m Vol.
$454k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months

85%

Democratic Party

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

$4.2m Vol.
$435k Liq.
138
Ends in 7 months

50%

Democrats Sweep

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

$254k Vol.
$23k Liq.
11
Ends in 7 months

83%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

$360k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months

83%

Not Extended & Democratic Party

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

$57k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months

2%

Yes

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

$45k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 1 day

98%

Mr. Speaker 10+ times

Mike Johnson out as Speaker before inauguration?

Mike Johnson out as Speaker before inauguration?

$360k Vol.
$0 Liq.
14
Ended

No

Who will be the Speaker of the House?

Who will be the Speaker of the House?

$188.4m Vol.
$0 Liq.
111
Ended

Mike Johnson

How many ballots to elect next Speaker?

How many ballots to elect next Speaker?

$227k Vol.
$0 Liq.
10
Ended

1

How many votes will Mike Johnson get on first ballot?

How many votes will Mike Johnson get on first ballot?

$437k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

218

AI on Amazon speaker by June?

amazon · technology

AI on Amazon speaker by June?

$4k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

Will a House Speaker be elected by end of Friday?

All

Will a House Speaker be elected by end of Friday?

$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
Will Hakeem Jeffries get the most votes in next vote for Speaker?

All

Will Hakeem Jeffries get the most votes in next vote for Speaker?

$40k Vol.
$0 Liq.
12
Ended

Yes

Will any Dem vote for the next speaker?

All

Will any Dem vote for the next speaker?

$15k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

Who will be elected Speaker of the House for the 118th Congress?

All

Who will be elected Speaker of the House for the 118th Congress?

$88k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
Will Trump be Speaker by Dec 31?

Will Trump be Speaker by Dec 31?

$147k Vol.
$0 Liq.
8
Ended

No

Will the US House Speaker be elected on the first ballot?

All

Will the US House Speaker be elected on the first ballot?

$2k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
Will a House Speaker be elected by end of Wednesday?

All

Will a House Speaker be elected by end of Wednesday?

$67 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
Will Trump be Speaker by Mar 1?

Will Trump be Speaker by Mar 1?

$95k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No