Speaker Predictions & Odds· 197 markets

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
$94k Vol.
$13k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$94k Vol.$13k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
34%
December 31, 2026

Which party will win the House in 2026?
$4.1m Vol.
$454k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$4.1m Vol.$454k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
85%
Democratic Party

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$4.2m Vol.
$435k Liq.
138
Ends in 7 months
$4.2m Vol.$435k Liq.138Ends in 7 months
50%
Democrats Sweep

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$254k Vol.
$23k Liq.
11
Ends in 7 months
$254k Vol.$23k Liq.11Ends in 7 months
83%
Shutdown & Democratic Party

ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?
$360k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$360k Vol.$13k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
83%
Not Extended & Democratic Party

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$57k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$57k Vol.$13k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
2%
Yes

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
$45k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 1 day
$45k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in 1 day
98%
Mr. Speaker 10+ times

Mike Johnson

218


All
Will Hakeem Jeffries get the most votes in next vote for Speaker?
$40k Vol.
$0 Liq.
12
Ended
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Yes

All
Who will be elected Speaker of the House for the 118th Congress?
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$0 Liq.
Ended
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All
Will the US House Speaker be elected on the first ballot?
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Ended
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