Special Elections Predictions & Odds· 116 markets

27%
≤47

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
$198k Vol.
$76k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$198k Vol.$76k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
31%
190-194

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?
$39k Vol.
$46k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$39k Vol.$46k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
33%
22–23

50%
2

81%
0

40%
7-9

72%
4-6

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$57k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$57k Vol.$13k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
2%
Yes

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
$18k Vol.
$28k Liq.
17
Ends in 8 months
$18k Vol.$28k Liq.17Ends in 8 months
87%
Kuomintang (KMT)

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
$229k Vol.
$28k Liq.
5
Ends in 21 days
$229k Vol.$28k Liq.5Ends in 21 days
84%
Yes

97%
Clayton Fuller

98%
Analilia Mejia

54%
Democrat

# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?
$20k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$20k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 2 months
56%
10+

South Korea By-Elections: Party Winner
$474 Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$474 Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 2 months
95%
Democratic Party of Korea (DP)

# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?
$20k Vol.
$28k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$20k Vol.$28k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
39%
3

19%
115-120m

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$15k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30

