Special Elections Predictions & Odds· 116 markets
27%
≤47
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
$198k Vol.
$110k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$198k Vol.$110k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
31%
Below 190
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?
$39k Vol.
$66k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$39k Vol.$66k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
33%
22–23
81%
0
How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?
$100 Vol.
$12k Liq.
$100 Vol.$12k Liq.
50%
2
40%
7-9
73%
4-6
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$57k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$57k Vol.$13k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
2%
Yes
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
$18k Vol.
$50k Liq.
17
Ends in 8 months
$18k Vol.$50k Liq.17Ends in 8 months
87%
Kuomintang (KMT)
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
$229k Vol.
$28k Liq.
5
Ends in 21 days
$229k Vol.$28k Liq.5Ends in 21 days
84%
Yes
97%
Clayton Fuller
98%
Analilia Mejia
54%
Democrat
# of seats won by DP in South Korea by-elections?
$20k Vol.
$35k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$20k Vol.$35k Liq.Ends in 2 months
56%
10+
South Korea By-Elections: Party Winner
$474 Vol.
$28k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$474 Vol.$28k Liq.Ends in 2 months
95%
Democratic Party of Korea (DP)
# of seats won by PPP in South Korea by-elections?
$20k Vol.
$32k Liq.
2
Ends in 2 months
$20k Vol.$32k Liq.2Ends in 2 months
41%
3
19%
115-120m
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$18k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$18k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
