Special Elections Predictions & Odds· 148 markets

27%
≤47

Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
$198k Vol.
$77k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$198k Vol.$77k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
31%
Below 190

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?
$39k Vol.
$47k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$39k Vol.$47k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
33%
24–25

50%
2

81%
0

40%
7-9

73%
4-6

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$57k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$57k Vol.$13k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
2%
Yes

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
$18k Vol.
$28k Liq.
17
Ends in 8 months
$18k Vol.$28k Liq.17Ends in 8 months
87%
Kuomintang (KMT)

Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
$229k Vol.
$28k Liq.
5
Ends in 21 days
$229k Vol.$28k Liq.5Ends in 21 days
84%
Yes

97%
Clayton Fuller

98%
Analilia Mejia

54%
Democrat

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$28k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$28k Vol.$15k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30

19%
115-120m

Patronis

<20%

10-15%
