Special Elections Predictions & Odds· 148 markets
27%
≤47
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
$198k Vol.
$122k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$198k Vol.$122k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
32%
190-194
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?
$39k Vol.
$53k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$39k Vol.$53k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
33%
24–25
How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?
$100 Vol.
$14k Liq.
$100 Vol.$14k Liq.
50%
2
81%
0
40%
7-9
73%
4-6
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$57k Vol.
$14k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$57k Vol.$14k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
2%
Yes
2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
$18k Vol.
$41k Liq.
17
Ends in 8 months
$18k Vol.$41k Liq.17Ends in 8 months
87%
Kuomintang (KMT)
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
$229k Vol.
$43k Liq.
5
Ends in 21 days
$229k Vol.$43k Liq.5Ends in 21 days
84%
Yes
97%
Clayton Fuller
98%
Analilia Mejia
56%
Democrat
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$17k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$17k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
41%
April 30
19%
115-120m
Patronis
<20%
10-15%