Starship Predictions & Odds· 132 markets
S
60%
Super Heavy booster explodes?
S
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
$101k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$101k Vol.$3k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
39%
Yes
H
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
$403k Vol.
$18k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$403k Vol.$18k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
66%
<5
E
17%
Yes
H
27%
70-80B
S
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$947k Vol.
$121k Liq.
19
Ends in over 1 year
$947k Vol.$121k Liq.19Ends in over 1 year
94%
>$1T
M
52%
Yes
S
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)
$664k Vol.
$103k Liq.
8
Ends in over 1 year
$664k Vol.$103k Liq.8Ends in over 1 year
46%
2.0T+
S
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)
$2.9m Vol.
$225k Liq.
44
Ends in over 1 year
$2.9m Vol.$225k Liq.44Ends in over 1 year
96%
1T+
W
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
$57k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
$57k Vol.$7k Liq.1Ends in over 1 year
96%
SpaceX
T
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
$145k Vol.
$19k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$145k Vol.$19k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes
S
SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?
$3k Vol.
$4k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$4k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
4%
Yes
W
What will SpaceX's public ticker be?
$4.2m Vol.
$174k Liq.
🔥$61k today
176
Ends in over 1 year
$4.2m Vol.🔥$61k today$174k Liq.176Ends in over 1 year
49%
$X
L
Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?
$1.2m Vol.
$80k Liq.
22
Ends in over 1 year
$1.2m Vol.$80k Liq.22Ends in over 1 year
44%
Morgan Stanley
S
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
$7k Vol.
$3k Liq.
5
Ends in over 1 year
$7k Vol.$3k Liq.5Ends in over 1 year
74%
SpaceX
M
MegaETH market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
$14.5m Vol.
$429k Liq.
🔥$164k today
258
Ends in 3 months
$14.5m Vol.🔥$164k today$429k Liq.258Ends in 3 months
63%
>$600M