Starship Predictions & Odds· 132 markets
S
60%
Super Heavy booster explodes?
H
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
$403k Vol.
$20k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$403k Vol.$20k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
37%
<5
S
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
$101k Vol.
$2k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$101k Vol.$2k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
40%
Yes
E
17%
Yes
S
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$905k Vol.
$123k Liq.
18
Ends in over 1 year
$905k Vol.$123k Liq.18Ends in over 1 year
93%
>$1T
M
46%
Yes
S
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)
$653k Vol.
$99k Liq.
9
Ends in over 1 year
$653k Vol.$99k Liq.9Ends in over 1 year
47%
2.0T+
S
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)
$2.9m Vol.
$226k Liq.
44
Ends in over 1 year
$2.9m Vol.$226k Liq.44Ends in over 1 year
94%
1T+
I
In which month will SpaceX IPO?
$146k Vol.
$31k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$146k Vol.$31k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
56%
June
W
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
$57k Vol.
$7k Liq.
1
Ends in over 1 year
$57k Vol.$7k Liq.1Ends in over 1 year
96%
SpaceX
T
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
$135k Vol.
$18k Liq.
4
Ends in 3 months
$135k Vol.$18k Liq.4Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
S
SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?
$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$2k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
4%
Yes
L
Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?
$1.2m Vol.
$90k Liq.
18
Ends in over 1 year
$1.2m Vol.$90k Liq.18Ends in over 1 year
39%
Goldman Sachs
W
What will Tesla (TSLA) hit in April 2026?
$8k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$8k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
99%
↓ $390
S
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
$7k Vol.
$3k Liq.
5
Ends in over 1 year
$7k Vol.$3k Liq.5Ends in over 1 year
78%
SpaceX
W
What will SpaceX's public ticker be?
$4.0m Vol.
$179k Liq.
🔥$64k today
172
Ends in over 1 year
$4.0m Vol.🔥$64k today$179k Liq.172Ends in over 1 year
63%
Other
