Starship Predictions & Odds· 132 markets
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
$348k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$348k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in 9 months
37%
<5
60%
Super Heavy booster explodes?
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?
$101k Vol.
$2k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$101k Vol.$2k Liq.Ends in 9 months
40%
Yes
17%
Yes
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?
$893k Vol.
$118k Liq.
17
Ends in almost 2 years
$893k Vol.$118k Liq.17Ends in almost 2 years
94%
>$1T
45%
Yes
52%
1.5T-2.0T
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)
$652k Vol.
$97k Liq.
9
Ends in almost 2 years
$652k Vol.$97k Liq.9Ends in almost 2 years
47%
2.0T+
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)
$2.9m Vol.
$215k Liq.
42
Ends in almost 2 years
$2.9m Vol.$215k Liq.42Ends in almost 2 years
94%
1T+
In which month will SpaceX IPO?
$146k Vol.
$23k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$146k Vol.$23k Liq.Ends in 9 months
56%
June
Will SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?
$57k Vol.
$3k Liq.
1
Ends in almost 2 years
$57k Vol.$3k Liq.1Ends in almost 2 years
96%
SpaceX
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
$135k Vol.
$17k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$135k Vol.$17k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
SpaceX goes public through Bill Ackman "SPAR" company?
$3k Vol.
$2k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$2k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
4%
Yes
Lead Bank in SpaceX’s IPO?
$1.2m Vol.
$85k Liq.
17
Ends in almost 2 years
$1.2m Vol.$85k Liq.17Ends in almost 2 years
38%
Goldman Sachs
What will Tesla (TSLA) hit in April 2026?
$8k Vol.
$11k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$8k Vol.$11k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
99%
↓ $390
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap?
$7k Vol.
$3k Liq.
5
Ends in almost 2 years
$7k Vol.$3k Liq.5Ends in almost 2 years
78%
SpaceX
What will SpaceX's public ticker be?
$3.9m Vol.
$174k Liq.
🔥$62k today
170
Ends in almost 2 years
$3.9m Vol.🔥$62k today$174k Liq.170Ends in almost 2 years
63%
Other
