Surveillance Predictions & Odds· 106 markets
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?
$4k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 19 days
$4k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in 19 days
66%
Yes
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?
$1.4m Vol.
$38k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$1.4m Vol.$38k Liq.Ends in 3 months
28%
June 30
Science · Pandemics
Flu Hospitalization Rate Week 12, 2026?
$8k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 3 days
$8k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in 3 days
96%
80–85
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by...?
$52k Vol.
$41k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$52k Vol.$41k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
57%
June 30
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?
$46k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$46k Vol.$15k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
9%
Yes
45%
Yes
15%
Isfahan nuclear facility
Epstein storage units raided in 2026?
$6k Vol.
$9k Liq.
4
Ends in 9 months
$6k Vol.$9k Liq.4Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
$29k Vol.
$15k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$29k Vol.$15k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
42%
April 30
Anyone charged for doxing Delta Force commander heading Maduro grab by March 31?
$3k Vol.
$920 Liq.
2
Ends in about 5 hours
$3k Vol.$920 Liq.2Ends in about 5 hours
2%
Yes
Middle East · Iran Regime
Internet Access restored in Iran by...?
$102k Vol.
$14k Liq.
27
Ends in about 1 month
$102k Vol.$14k Liq.27Ends in about 1 month
20%
April 30
1%
Yes
Epstein client list released by...?
$3.9m Vol.
$23k Liq.
667
Ends in 3 months
$3.9m Vol.$23k Liq.667Ends in 3 months
12%
Yes
Les Wexner arrested by March 31?
$20k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$20k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
0%
Yes
"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
$3k Vol.
$11k Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months
$3k Vol.$11k Liq.5Ends in 9 months
69%
Not revealed in 2026
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?
$15k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ended
$15k Vol.$6k Liq.Ended
4%
Yes
Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?
$578 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 8 days
$578 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 8 days
49%
60-79
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?
$22k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 5 hours
$22k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 5 hours
17%
Yes
Zelenskyy # posts March 27 - April 3, 2026?
$3k Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 4 days
$3k Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 4 days
41%
60-79