The War And Treaty Predictions & Odds· 103 markets
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
$70k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$70k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
$188k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$188k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
U
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
$582k Vol.
$11k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
$582k Vol.$11k Liq.37Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
R
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 3?
$5k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 15 hours
$5k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 15 hours
17%
Yes
C
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
$1.5m Vol.
$87k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$1.5m Vol.$87k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
R
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 27?
$15k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ended
$15k Vol.$6k Liq.Ended
4%
Yes
U
US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?
$26k Vol.
$24k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$26k Vol.$24k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
5%
Yes
P
Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by...?
$134k Vol.
$6k Liq.
27
Ends in 3 months
$134k Vol.$6k Liq.27Ends in 3 months
38%
Yes
R
Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by March 31?
$32k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ended
$32k Vol.$8k Liq.Ended
2%
Yes
S
Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?
$61k Vol.
$14k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$61k Vol.$14k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
33%
December 31, 2026
R
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay
$385k Vol.
$44k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$385k Vol.$44k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
17%
Yes
W
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
$102k Vol.
$42k Liq.
3
Ends in 7 months
$102k Vol.$42k Liq.3Ends in 7 months
54%
US x Iran Ceasefire
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
$1.9m Vol.
$388k Liq.
🔥$492k today
Ends in 28 days
$1.9m Vol.🔥$492k today$388k Liq.Ends in 28 days
2%
Yes
U
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$228k Vol.
$12k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$228k Vol.$12k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
8%
Yes
U
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?
$96k Vol.
$17k Liq.
9
Ends in 3 months
$96k Vol.$17k Liq.9Ends in 3 months
33%
Yes
R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
$12.4m Vol.
$490k Liq.
🔥$74k today
5,428
Ends in 9 months
$12.4m Vol.🔥$74k today$490k Liq.5,428Ends in 9 months
30%
Yes
C
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
$544k Vol.
$67k Liq.
31
Ends in 9 months
$544k Vol.$67k Liq.31Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
$132k Vol.
$19k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months
$132k Vol.$19k Liq.1Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes