Trump Cabinet Predictions & Odds· 237 markets
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$2.6m Vol.
$175k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$2.6m Vol.$175k Liq.Ends in 9 months
76%
Pam Bondi
P
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General by...?
$168k Vol.
$6k Liq.
9
Ends in 9 months
$168k Vol.$6k Liq.9Ends in 9 months
93%
June 30
H
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?
$933 Vol.
$3k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$933 Vol.$3k Liq.Ends in 9 months
20%
Yes
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
$74k Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$74k Vol.$36k Liq.Ends in 27 days
3%
Yes
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
$2k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$2k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 9 months
24%
Yes
P
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
$9k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$9k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 3 months
14%
Yes
R
23%
Yes
W
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
$416k Vol.
$116k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$416k Vol.$116k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
77%
Pam Bondi
W
Will Condoleezza Rice join the Trump administration by April 30?
$2k Vol.
$310 Liq.
Ends in 27 days
$2k Vol.$310 Liq.Ends in 27 days
3%
Yes
W
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?
$7k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$7k Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in 9 months
14%
Yes
T
Trump out as President by April 30?
$416k Vol.
$186k Liq.
🔥$80k today
Ends in 27 days
$416k Vol.🔥$80k today$186k Liq.Ends in 27 days
1%
Yes
T
Trump out as President before 2027?
$5.6m Vol.
$636k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$5.6m Vol.$636k Liq.Ends in 9 months
16%
Yes
T
Trump out as President by June 30?
$2.0m Vol.
$768k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$2.0m Vol.$768k Liq.Ends in 3 months
6%
Yes
U
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
$1.5m Vol.
$19k Liq.
79
Ends in 3 months
$1.5m Vol.$19k Liq.79Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
W
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$7k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
86%
Yes
W
Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$0 Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$0 Vol.$0 Liq.Ends in 9 months
Kristi Noem
T
March 31, 2026
W
Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?
$3.2m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$3.2m Vol.$0 Liq.Ends in 9 months
Stephen Miran
W
Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?
$1.0m Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
$1.0m Vol.$0 Liq.Ended
None in 2025
W
Kash Patel