Ukraine Predictions & Odds· 1238 markets

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

$1.9m Vol.
$386k Liq.
🔥$476k today
Ends in 28 days

2%

Yes

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

$4.4m Vol.
$455k Liq.
🔥$262k today
Ends in 3 months

10%

Yes

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

$12.4m Vol.
$490k Liq.
🔥$74k today
5,429
Ends in 9 months

30%

Yes

U
Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?

Ukraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by...?

$154k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 13 days

99%

Yes

U
Ukraine election held by...?

Ukraine election held by...?

$2.0m Vol.
$22k Liq.
48
Ended

21%

December 31, 2026

Z
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

$2.0m Vol.
$94k Liq.
89
Ends in 9 months

20%

Yes

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?

$14k Vol.
$158k Liq.
Ends in about 2 months

6%

Yes

U
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

$78k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

17%

Yes

U
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

$2.3m Vol.
$35k Liq.
122
Ends in 9 months

11%

December 31, 2026

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?

11%

Yes

U
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

$19k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

8%

Yes

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?

$3k Vol.
$83k Liq.
Ends in about 1 year

39%

Yes

R
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?

$2k Vol.
$121k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year

51%

Yes

E
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by...?

$87k Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

14%

December 31

U
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

$1.1m Vol.
$36k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

3%

Yes

U
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?

$132k Vol.
$19k Liq.
1
Ends in 3 months

11%

Yes

U
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

$188k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

25%

Yes

W
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?

$55k Vol.
$26k Liq.
12
Ends in 3 months

3%

Yes

W
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?

Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?

$7k Vol.
$9k Liq.
3
Ends in 28 days

28%

Yes

Z
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?

$140k Vol.
$60k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

4%

Yes