Un Predictions & Odds· 1278 markets

K
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

$55k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

8%

Yes

W
Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

Who will be the next Secretary-General of the UN?

$35k Vol.
$3k Liq.
3
Ended

56%

Rafael Grossi

W
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

$14.7m Vol.
$536k Liq.
🔥$359k today
71
Ends in 9 months

10%

Yes

V
Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

$79.5m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$322k today
207
Ends in 9 months

65%

Delcy Rodríguez

W
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

$2.1m Vol.
$207k Liq.
🔥$120k today
Ends in 3 months

3%

Yes

I
Israel military action against Gaza on...?

Israel military action against Gaza on...?

$1.2m Vol.
$36k Liq.
🔥$71k today
Ended

71%

March 31

I
Iran military action against Israel on...?

Iran military action against Israel on...?

$67k Vol.
$74k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

97%

April 2

I
Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

Iran military action against a Gulf State on...?

$105k Vol.
$752k Liq.
Ended

100%

March 28

G
Gulf State military action against Iran by...?

Gulf State military action against Iran by...?

$71k Vol.
$49k Liq.
2
Ends in 28 days

18%

April 30

W
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

$135k Vol.
$194k Liq.
Ends in 6 months

6%

Yes

W
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

$167k Vol.
$202k Liq.
Ends in over 1 year

21%

Yes

I
Israel military action against Beirut on...?

Israel military action against Beirut on...?

$49k Vol.
$39k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

99%

April 1

U
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

$2.3m Vol.
$34k Liq.
122
Ends in 9 months

11%

December 31, 2026

I
Israel military action against Gaza on...?

Israel military action against Gaza on...?

$12k Vol.
$49k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

57%

April 7

H
How many countries will Israel conduct military action against in April?

How many countries will Israel conduct military action against in April?

$28k Vol.
$43k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

43%

3

I
Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

Israel military action against Lebanon on...?

$14k Vol.
$53k Liq.
Ends in 28 days

99%

April 1

U
Ukraine military action against Moscow by...?

Ukraine military action against Moscow by...?

$142k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ended

9%

April 30

I
Israel military action against Beirut on...?

Israel military action against Beirut on...?

$172k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ended

44%

March 28

W
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

$1k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in about 1 year

14%

Yes