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US Economy Predictions & Odds· 317 markets

AllPoliticsUSA ElectionIranUSBusinessFinanceTrumpEconomy1FedU.S. PoliticsForecastingUS GovernmentGovernmentCongressEmploymentInflationUS EconomyReal EstateLabor MarketJobsFebruary Job ReportUS EmploymentEmployment RateEarningsParclTechUnemploymentUS JobsSCOTUSSupreme Court Fed RatesGeopoliticsKamalaEconomyJerome Powell2025 PredictionsTariffsTrade WarEconomic PolicyWorldKhameneiHousingGeneral Tariff
U
US inflation >0.2% from Nov to Dec 2023?

Finance·economy1

US inflation >0.2% from Nov to Dec 2023?

$29k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

U
US inflation >0% from Oct to Nov 2023?

Finance·economy1

US inflation >0% from Oct to Nov 2023?

$13k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

Yes

U
US inflation >0.4% from Feb to March 2024?

Finance·us economy

US inflation >0.4% from Feb to March 2024?

$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

No

H
How many Jobs added in February?

Finance·us

How many Jobs added in February?

$83k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

250k-300k

H
How many Jobs added in March?

jobs · Business

How many Jobs added in March?

$63k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

>275k (Feb #)

U
US defaults on debt in 2025?

Politics·us government

US defaults on debt in 2025?

$138k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

C
CHIPS Act repealed before July?

Politics·Trump

CHIPS Act repealed before July?

$19k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

No

F
Fed abolished in 2025?

Economy·Economic Policy

Fed abolished in 2025?

$418k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

S
S&P500 all time high after election is called?

Finance·USA Election

S&P500 all time high after election is called?

$18k Vol.
$0 Liq.
11
Ended

Yes

W
What will the median home value in the US be on April 1?

Economy·real estate

What will the median home value in the US be on April 1?

$28k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

427.5 - 430k

N
New 10% US blanket tariff goes into effect by February 28?

World·SCOTUS

New 10% US blanket tariff goes into effect by February 28?

$200k Vol.
$0 Liq.
26
Ended

Yes

A
Another US bank failure by February 28?

Economy·Business

Another US bank failure by February 28?

$103k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

A
Another US bank failure by March 31?

Economy·Business

Another US bank failure by March 31?

$114k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

W
What will the median home value in the US be on March 1?

Economy·Hide From New

What will the median home value in the US be on March 1?

$9k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

420 - 425k

U
US bank failure by February 28?

Finance·Business

US bank failure by February 28?

$78k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

U
US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?

Economy·Fed

US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?

$58k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

Trump Announce Fed

U
US bank failure by January 31?

Economy·Business

US bank failure by January 31?

$693k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

W
What will the median home value in the US be on February 1?

Economy·Parcl

What will the median home value in the US be on February 1?

$65k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

>418k

U
US recession in 2025?

Economy·Business

US recession in 2025?

$11.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
710
Ended

No

W
Will T-Mobile US (TMUS) beat quarterly earnings?

Earnings·Hide From New

Will T-Mobile US (TMUS) beat quarterly earnings?

$23k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

Yes