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US Economy Predictions & Odds· 307 markets

AllPoliticsUSA ElectionIranUSBusinessFinanceTrumpEconomy1FedU.S. PoliticsForecastingUS GovernmentGovernmentCongressEmploymentInflationUS EconomyReal EstateLabor MarketJobsFebruary Job ReportUS EmploymentEmployment RateEarningsParclTechUnemploymentUS JobsSCOTUSSupreme Court Fed RatesGeopoliticsKamalaEconomyJerome Powell2025 PredictionsTariffsTrade WarEconomic PolicyWorldMacro IndicatorsTreasuriesKhameneiHousingGeneral Tariff
US inflation >0.2% from Nov to Dec 2023?

Finance·economy1

US inflation >0.2% from Nov to Dec 2023?

$29k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

US inflation >0% from Oct to Nov 2023?

Finance·economy1

US inflation >0% from Oct to Nov 2023?

$13k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

Yes

US inflation >0.4% from Feb to March 2024?

Finance·us economy

US inflation >0.4% from Feb to March 2024?

$8k Vol.
$0 Liq.
3
Ended

No

How many Jobs added in February?

Finance·us

How many Jobs added in February?

$83k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

250k-300k

How many Jobs added in March?

jobs · Business

How many Jobs added in March?

$63k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

>275k (Feb #)

US defaults on debt in 2025?

Politics·us government

US defaults on debt in 2025?

$138k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

CHIPS Act repealed before July?

Politics·Trump

CHIPS Act repealed before July?

$19k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

No

Fed abolished in 2025?

Economy·Economic Policy

Fed abolished in 2025?

$418k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

S&P500 all time high after election is called?

Finance·USA Election

S&P500 all time high after election is called?

$18k Vol.
$0 Liq.
11
Ended

Yes

New 10% US blanket tariff goes into effect by February 28?

World·SCOTUS

New 10% US blanket tariff goes into effect by February 28?

$200k Vol.
$0 Liq.
26
Ended

Yes

Another US bank failure by February 28?

Economy·Business

Another US bank failure by February 28?

$103k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

No

What will the median home value in the US be on March 1?

Economy·Hide From New

What will the median home value in the US be on March 1?

$9k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

420 - 425k

US bank failure by February 28?

Finance·Business

US bank failure by February 28?

$78k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?

Economy·Fed

US strikes Iran or Trump announces Fed nominee first?

$58k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ends in 9 months

Trump Announce Fed

US bank failure by January 31?

Economy·Business

US bank failure by January 31?

$693k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Yes

What will the median home value in the US be on February 1?

Economy·Parcl

What will the median home value in the US be on February 1?

$65k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

>418k

US recession in 2025?

Economy·Business

US recession in 2025?

$11.7m Vol.
$0 Liq.
710
Ended

No

Will T-Mobile US (TMUS) beat quarterly earnings?

Earnings·Hide From New

Will T-Mobile US (TMUS) beat quarterly earnings?

$23k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

Yes

US stagflation in 2025?

Economy·Macro Indicators

US stagflation in 2025?

$78k Vol.
$0 Liq.
5
Ended

No

US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?

Economy·Business

US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30?

$1.5m Vol.
$0 Liq.
167
Ended

No