US Elections Predictions & Odds· 473 markets
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
$102k Vol.
$27k Liq.
17
Ends in 9 months
$102k Vol.$27k Liq.17Ends in 9 months
91%
Yes
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
$1.3m Vol.
$290k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$1.3m Vol.$290k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
52%
Democratic Party
2026 U.S. House election: Republicans flip the Democrats by...?
$55k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$55k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
0%
Yes
New Trump executive order to restrict voting by March 31?
$754 Vol.
$715 Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$754 Vol.$715 Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
1%
Yes
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?
$0 Vol.
$5k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$5k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
82%
Yes
Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?
$2k Vol.
$9k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$2k Vol.$9k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
92%
Yes
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
$198k Vol.
$83k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$198k Vol.$83k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
31%
Below 190
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
$28k Vol.
$32k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$28k Vol.$32k Liq.Ends in 7 months
46%
Other
20%
115-120m
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?
$0 Vol.
$379 Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$0 Vol.$379 Liq.Ends in 7 months
77%
Yes
27%
≤47
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$254k Vol.
$23k Liq.
11
Ends in 7 months
$254k Vol.$23k Liq.11Ends in 7 months
83%
Shutdown & Democratic Party
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$4.2m Vol.
$428k Liq.
140
Ends in 7 months
$4.2m Vol.$428k Liq.140Ends in 7 months
50%
Democrats Sweep
ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?
$360k Vol.
$13k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$360k Vol.$13k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
83%
Not Extended & Democratic Party
Will any Illinois Dem House incumbent lose their primary?
$0 Vol.
$855 Liq.
5
Ended
$0 Vol.$855 Liq.5Ended
2%
Yes
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$57k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$57k Vol.$13k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
2%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
$434k Vol.
$47k Liq.
50
Ends in 3 months
$434k Vol.$47k Liq.50Ends in 3 months
85%
Yes
Will the next elected US president be a woman?
$10k Vol.
$34k Liq.
2
Ends in over 2 years
$10k Vol.$34k Liq.2Ends in over 2 years
20%
Yes