US Politics Predictions & Odds· 428 markets
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by...?
$1.8m Vol.
$134k Liq.
37
Ends in about 1 month
$1.8m Vol.$134k Liq.37Ends in about 1 month
2%
May 14
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
$254k Vol.
$23k Liq.
11
Ends in 7 months
$254k Vol.$23k Liq.11Ends in 7 months
83%
Shutdown & Democratic Party
Will the next elected US president be a woman?
$10k Vol.
$34k Liq.
2
Ends in over 2 years
$10k Vol.$34k Liq.2Ends in over 2 years
20%
Yes
Presidential Election Winner 2028
$475.4m Vol.
$28.5m Liq.
🔥$5.8m today
803
Ends in over 2 years
$475.4m Vol.🔥$5.8m today$28.5m Liq.803Ends in over 2 years
17%
JD Vance
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
$4.9m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$131k today
Ends in 9 months
$4.9m Vol.🔥$131k today$1.3m Liq.Ends in 9 months
10%
December 31
Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?
$1.6m Vol.
$763k Liq.
64
Ends in over 2 years
$1.6m Vol.$763k Liq.64Ends in over 2 years
59%
Democratic
US x Russia military clash by...?
$583k Vol.
$21k Liq.
16
Ends in 9 months
$583k Vol.$21k Liq.16Ends in 9 months
10%
December 31, 2026
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by ...?
$7.9m Vol.
$330k Liq.
🔥$328k today
159
Ends in 3 months
$7.9m Vol.🔥$328k today$330k Liq.159Ends in 3 months
68%
June 30
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
$1.3m Vol.
$287k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$1.3m Vol.$287k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
52%
Democratic Party
Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
$4.2m Vol.
$425k Liq.
140
Ends in 7 months
$4.2m Vol.$425k Liq.140Ends in 7 months
50%
Democrats Sweep
Republican 2026 House odds hit___ by March 31?
$293k Vol.
$97k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$293k Vol.$97k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
2%
↓ 10%
27%
≤47
Republican House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
$198k Vol.
$84k Liq.
1
Ends in 7 months
$198k Vol.$84k Liq.1Ends in 7 months
31%
Below 190
Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?
$94k Vol.
$12k Liq.
3
Ends in 9 months
$94k Vol.$12k Liq.3Ends in 9 months
29%
December 31, 2026
ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?
$360k Vol.
$13k Liq.
2
Ends in 7 months
$360k Vol.$13k Liq.2Ends in 7 months
83%
Not Extended & Democratic Party
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory
$28k Vol.
$44k Liq.
Ends in 7 months
$28k Vol.$44k Liq.Ends in 7 months
46%
Other
20%
115-120m
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?
$57k Vol.
$13k Liq.
4
Ends in 7 months
$57k Vol.$13k Liq.4Ends in 7 months
2%
Yes