War Predictions & Odds· 226 markets
Joe Kent charged by April 30?
$8k Vol.
$10k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month
$8k Vol.$10k Liq.2Ends in about 1 month
7%
Yes
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
$4.9m Vol.
$1.3m Liq.
🔥$151k today
Ends in 9 months
$4.9m Vol.🔥$151k today$1.3m Liq.Ends in 9 months
10%
December 31
Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?
$556k Vol.
$14k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$556k Vol.$14k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
25%
April 30
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?
$765k Vol.
$38k Liq.
37
Ends in 3 months
$765k Vol.$38k Liq.37Ends in 3 months
1%
Yes
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?
$92k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$92k Vol.$42k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
0%
Yes
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?
$5k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$5k Vol.$7k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
16%
Yes
Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?
$55k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$55k Vol.$5k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
32%
December 31, 2026
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
$57.4m Vol.
$2.5m Liq.
🔥$3.5m today
2
Ends in about 11 hours
$57.4m Vol.🔥$3.5m today$2.5m Liq.2Ends in about 11 hours
0%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
$22.4m Vol.
$770k Liq.
🔥$219k today
3
Ends in 3 months
$22.4m Vol.🔥$219k today$770k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
19%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
$12.2m Vol.
$274k Liq.
🔥$191k today
10
Ends in 9 months
$12.2m Vol.🔥$191k today$274k Liq.10Ends in 9 months
33%
Yes
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
$12.9m Vol.
$1.2m Liq.
🔥$181k today
Ends in about 1 month
$12.9m Vol.🔥$181k today$1.2m Liq.Ends in about 1 month
7%
Yes
Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?
$231k Vol.
$46k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$231k Vol.$46k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
24%
April 30
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
$227k Vol.
$65k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months
$227k Vol.$65k Liq.6Ends in 3 months
13%
June 30
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
$405k Vol.
$42k Liq.
50
Ends in 3 months
$405k Vol.$42k Liq.50Ends in 3 months
81%
Yes
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
$67k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months
$67k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
$185k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$185k Vol.$19k Liq.Ends in 9 months
26%
Yes
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?
$44k Vol.
$11k Liq.
3
Ends in about 1 month
$44k Vol.$11k Liq.3Ends in about 1 month
18%
Yes
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?
$385k Vol.
$89k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$385k Vol.$89k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
0%
Yes
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?
$1.5m Vol.
$18k Liq.
78
Ends in 3 months
$1.5m Vol.$18k Liq.78Ends in 3 months
14%
June 30
Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?
$9k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$9k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 9 months
19%
Yes