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War Predictions & Odds· 1672 markets

AllPoliticsIranWarRussiaUkraineTrumpMiddle EastIsraelVenezuelaPutinAIZelenskyCongressCultureTechGeopoliticsTrump PresidencyFBIHegsethForeign PolicyMassieWorldBig TechKhameneiUS IranTrump ZelenskyyDodSudanUkraine Peace DealClaudeKhannaReza PahlaviIran RegimeU.S. X IranIsrael X IranDario Amodei
Joe Kent charged by April 30?

Culture·fbi

Joe Kent charged by April 30?

$8k Vol.
$7k Liq.
2
Ends in 30 days

6%

Yes

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

World·Trump Presidency

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

$4.9m Vol.
$1.1m Liq.
🔥$116k today
Ends in 9 months

10%

December 31

Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?

Politics·Middle East

Will Trump declare war on Iran by...?

$556k Vol.
$13k Liq.
1
Ended

16%

April 30

Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?

Politics·Venezuela

Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by...?

$1.2m Vol.
$40k Liq.
38
Ends in 3 months

1%

Yes

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?

Politics·Congress

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by March 31?

$92k Vol.
$42k Liq.
Ended

0%

Yes

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?

Politics·massie

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?

$7k Vol.
$7k Liq.
Ends in 30 days

17%

Yes

Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

Geopolitics·Sudan

Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?

$55k Vol.
$5k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months

32%

December 31, 2026

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Politics·Israel

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

$59.4m Vol.
$2.4m Liq.
🔥$4.7m today
3
Ended

0%

Yes

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Geopolitics·Iran

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

$23.2m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$858k today
4
Ends in 3 months

17%

Yes

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Politics·Reza Pahlavi

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

$13.3m Vol.
$1.6m Liq.
🔥$531k today
1
Ends in 30 days

7%

Yes

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

World·Israel

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

$12.3m Vol.
$443k Liq.
🔥$200k today
12
Ends in 9 months

34%

Yes

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Geopolitics·Khamenei

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

$450k Vol.
$27k Liq.
51
Ends in 3 months

84%

Yes

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

Geopolitics·Israel

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

$241k Vol.
$34k Liq.
3
Ends in 30 days

23%

April 30

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

Geopolitics·Trump

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

$227k Vol.
$36k Liq.
6
Ends in 3 months

13%

June 30

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

Tech·Hegseth

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon?

$45k Vol.
$10k Liq.
3
Ends in 30 days

17%

Yes

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?

Politics·Foreign Policy

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?

$387k Vol.
$38k Liq.
1
Ended

0%

Yes

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

Politics·Ukraine

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?

$67k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in 3 months

10%

Yes

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

Politics·Ukraine

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

$185k Vol.
$19k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

25%

Yes

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

World·Trump-Zelenskyy

Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by...?

$1.5m Vol.
$30k Liq.
79
Ends in 3 months

14%

June 30

Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

Politics·Ukraine Peace Deal

Ukraine peace referendum passed before 2027?

$9k Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in 9 months

19%

Yes