Weather Science Predictions & Odds· 246 markets
China · Hong Kong
Precipitation in Hong Kong in March?
$20k Vol.
$5k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$20k Vol.$5k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
76%
150-160mm
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
$2.4m Vol.
$117k Liq.
19
Ends in 9 months
$2.4m Vol.$117k Liq.19Ends in 9 months
46%
2
Precipitation in Seattle in March?
$322k Vol.
$13k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$322k Vol.$13k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
92%
5-6"
Precipitation in NYC in March?
$173k Vol.
$10k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$173k Vol.$10k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
83%
3-4"
Weather · Precipitation
Precipitation in Seattle in April?
$4k Vol.
$15k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$4k Vol.$15k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
52%
<2.5"
Weather · Science
Precipitation in NYC in April?
$800 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$800 Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
48%
2-3"
Hong Kong · China
Precipitation in Hong Kong in April?
$511 Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$511 Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
28%
<130mm
Weather · Science
Major solar storm by April 30?
$11k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$11k Vol.$1k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
10%
Yes
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?
$69k Vol.
$24k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$69k Vol.$24k Liq.Ends in 2 months
99%
May 31
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
$7.5m Vol.
$33k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$7.5m Vol.$33k Liq.Ends in 9 months
98%
↑2k
Earthquakes · Science
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?
$43k Vol.
$20k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$43k Vol.$20k Liq.Ends in 5 days
49%
1
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
$1.1m Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$1.1m Vol.$30k Liq.Ends in 9 months
28%
11–13
Measles · Pandemics
Measles cases in U.S. by April 30?
$35k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$35k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
91%
1800
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
$1.8m Vol.
$90k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
$1.8m Vol.$90k Liq.22Ends in 3 months
68%
8+
Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?
$387k Vol.
$21k Liq.
Ends in about 8 hours
$387k Vol.$21k Liq.Ends in about 8 hours
1%
1600
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$666k Vol.
$18k Liq.
9
Ends in about 1 year
$666k Vol.$18k Liq.9Ends in about 1 year
43%
1
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$171k Vol.
$8k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$171k Vol.$8k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$530k Vol.
$26k Liq.
26
Ends in 9 months
$530k Vol.$26k Liq.26Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
$116k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$116k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
March 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
$208k Vol.
$18k Liq.
Ends in 10 days
$208k Vol.$18k Liq.Ends in 10 days
48%
1.25–1.29ºC