Weather Science Predictions & Odds· 240 markets
China · Hong Kong
Precipitation in Hong Kong in March?
$20k Vol.
$4k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$20k Vol.$4k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
80%
150-160mm
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
$2.4m Vol.
$110k Liq.
20
Ends in 9 months
$2.4m Vol.$110k Liq.20Ends in 9 months
46%
2
Precipitation in Seattle in March?
$329k Vol.
$8k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$329k Vol.$8k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
86%
5-6"
Precipitation in NYC in March?
$176k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$176k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
89%
3-4"
Weather · Precipitation
Precipitation in Seattle in April?
$4k Vol.
$12k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$4k Vol.$12k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
61%
<2.5"
Weather · Science
Precipitation in NYC in April?
$823 Vol.
$6k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$823 Vol.$6k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
38%
4-5"
Weather · Science
Major solar storm by April 30?
$11k Vol.
$1k Liq.
1
Ends in about 1 month
$11k Vol.$1k Liq.1Ends in about 1 month
10%
Yes
Hong Kong · China
Precipitation in Hong Kong in April?
$511 Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$511 Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
32%
<130mm
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by...?
$71k Vol.
$25k Liq.
Ends in 2 months
$71k Vol.$25k Liq.Ends in 2 months
100%
May 31
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
$7.5m Vol.
$31k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$7.5m Vol.$31k Liq.Ends in 9 months
98%
↑2k
Earthquakes · Science
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes March 30 - April 5?
$44k Vol.
$16k Liq.
Ends in 5 days
$44k Vol.$16k Liq.Ends in 5 days
51%
1
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
$1.1m Vol.
$26k Liq.
1
Ends in 9 months
$1.1m Vol.$26k Liq.1Ends in 9 months
28%
14–16
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?
$1.8m Vol.
$103k Liq.
22
Ends in 3 months
$1.8m Vol.$103k Liq.22Ends in 3 months
68%
8+
Measles · Pandemics
Measles cases in U.S. by April 30?
$38k Vol.
$17k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$38k Vol.$17k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
90%
1800
Measles cases in U.S. by March 31?
$391k Vol.
$22k Liq.
Ends in about 4 hours
$391k Vol.$22k Liq.Ends in about 4 hours
0%
1600
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$171k Vol.
$8k Liq.
6
Ends in 9 months
$171k Vol.$8k Liq.6Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
$530k Vol.
$30k Liq.
26
Ends in 9 months
$530k Vol.$30k Liq.26Ends in 9 months
6%
Yes
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
$116k Vol.
$9k Liq.
Ends in 9 months
$116k Vol.$9k Liq.Ends in 9 months
13%
Yes
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
$666k Vol.
$18k Liq.
9
Ends in about 1 year
$666k Vol.$18k Liq.9Ends in about 1 year
44%
1
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
$112k Vol.
$5k Liq.
5
Ends in 10 months
$112k Vol.$5k Liq.5Ends in 10 months
73%
Yes