Writing Predictions & Odds· 117 markets

Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?
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2
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90%
Mariah Carey

45%
Yes

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?
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2
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41%
April 30

László Krasznahorkai

Yes

All
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022?
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All
Will the Wordle word on Pi day contain a "P" or an "I"?
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All
Will any Electoral College Certificates of Vote be formally challenged in Congress?
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All
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022?
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All
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?
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Anatomy of a Fall

American Fiction

Twitter · X
# of Elon Musk tweets between May 3 and May 10?
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33
Ended
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90-104

Kendrick Lamar

75-84

Spain wins in 90 min

Draw/No winner