Writing Predictions & Odds· 117 markets

Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?

Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?

$73k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months

90%

Mariah Carey

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

$2.0m Vol.
$11k Liq.
107
Ends in 3 months

45%

Yes

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by...?

$28k Vol.
$15k Liq.
2
Ends in about 1 month

41%

April 30

Nobel Prize in Literature 2025

Nobel Prize in Literature 2025

$103k Vol.
$0 Liq.
12
Ended

László Krasznahorkai

Will Biden declassify Russia security threat by Friday?

Will Biden declassify Russia security threat by Friday?

$17k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

Yes

Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022?

All

Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022?

$203k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
Will the Wordle word on Pi day contain a "P" or an "I"?

All

Will the Wordle word on Pi day contain a "P" or an "I"?

$21k Vol.
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Ended
Will Russia remain in G20 through November 1, 2022?

All

Will Russia remain in G20 through November 1, 2022?

$23k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022?

All

Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022?

$360k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?

All

Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election?

$1.8m Vol.
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Ended
Oscars: Best Original Screenplay

Oscars: Best Original Screenplay

$80k Vol.
$0 Liq.
1
Ended

Anatomy of a Fall

Oscars: Best Adapted Screenplay

Oscars: Best Adapted Screenplay

$89k Vol.
$0 Liq.
2
Ended

American Fiction

# of Elon Musk tweets between May 3 and May 10?

Twitter · X

# of Elon Musk tweets between May 3 and May 10?

$491k Vol.
$0 Liq.
33
Ended

90-104

# of Elon Musk tweets between May 24 and May 31?

# of Elon Musk tweets between May 24 and May 31?

$250k Vol.
$0 Liq.
18
Ended

<55

# of Elon Musk tweets between May 10 and May 17?

# of Elon Musk tweets between May 10 and May 17?

$487k Vol.
$0 Liq.
36
Ended

<60

Which artists will drop music in May?

Which artists will drop music in May?

$43k Vol.
$0 Liq.
4
Ended

Kendrick Lamar

# of Elon Musk tweets between May 17 and May 24?

# of Elon Musk tweets between May 17 and May 24?

$275k Vol.
$0 Liq.
19
Ended

75-84

Euro Finals: How will the game end?

Euro 2024 · Sports

Euro Finals: How will the game end?

$52k Vol.
$0 Liq.
Ended

Spain wins in 90 min

Nic Carter vs. David Hoffman: Who will win?

Nic Carter vs. David Hoffman: Who will win?

$192k Vol.
$0 Liq.
10
Ended

Draw/No winner