Xai Predictions & Odds· 129 markets
xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$119 Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$119 Vol.$3k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
76%
25%+
6%
Yes
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
$24k Vol.
$42k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$24k Vol.$42k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
44%
None in 2026
55%
April 30
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
$91k Vol.
$16k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$91k Vol.$16k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
34%
Yes
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
$58k Vol.
$13k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$58k Vol.$13k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
$15.9m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$220k today
Ends in about 7 hours
$15.9m Vol.🔥$220k today$1.5m Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
100%
Anthropic
Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$802k Vol.
$168k Liq.
🔥$142k today
Ends in about 1 month
$802k Vol.🔥$142k today$168k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
85%
Anthropic
Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$1.0m Vol.
$115k Liq.
1
Ends in about 7 hours
$1.0m Vol.$115k Liq.1Ends in about 7 hours
99%
Anthropic
Which company has best AI model end of June?
$2.9m Vol.
$426k Liq.
64
Ends in 3 months
$2.9m Vol.$426k Liq.64Ends in 3 months
65%
Anthropic
Which company has the #3 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$404k Vol.
$68k Liq.
2
Ends in about 7 hours
$404k Vol.$68k Liq.2Ends in about 7 hours
95%
Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$544k Vol.
$76k Liq.
2
Ends in about 7 hours
$544k Vol.$76k Liq.2Ends in about 7 hours
98%
Anthropic
Which company has the best AI model end of April?
$2.7m Vol.
$471k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$2.7m Vol.$471k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
89%
Anthropic
Which company has the second best AI model end of March?
$625k Vol.
$106k Liq.
1
Ends in about 7 hours
$625k Vol.$106k Liq.1Ends in about 7 hours
99%
Anthropic
Which company has the third best AI model end of March?
$526k Vol.
$92k Liq.
Ends in about 7 hours
$526k Vol.$92k Liq.Ends in about 7 hours
99%
Which company has the third best AI model end of April?
$88k Vol.
$79k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$88k Vol.$79k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
66%
Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$13k Vol.
$62k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$13k Vol.$62k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Anthropic
Which company has second best AI model end of June?
$333k Vol.
$120k Liq.
52
Ends in 3 months
$333k Vol.$120k Liq.52Ends in 3 months
50%
Anthropic
Which company has the second best AI model end of April?
$13k Vol.
$95k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$13k Vol.$95k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
80%
Anthropic
Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$7k Vol.
$30k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$30k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
39%