Xai Predictions & Odds· 212 markets
xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?
$119 Vol.
$3k Liq.
2
Ends in 3 months
$119 Vol.$3k Liq.2Ends in 3 months
76%
25%+
6%
Yes
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
$24k Vol.
$32k Liq.
2
Ends in 9 months
$24k Vol.$32k Liq.2Ends in 9 months
44%
None in 2026
55%
April 30
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
$91k Vol.
$19k Liq.
15
Ends in 9 months
$91k Vol.$19k Liq.15Ends in 9 months
34%
Yes
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30?
$58k Vol.
$15k Liq.
3
Ends in 3 months
$58k Vol.$15k Liq.3Ends in 3 months
11%
Yes
Which company has the best AI model end of March?
$15.9m Vol.
$1.5m Liq.
🔥$258k today
Ends in about 11 hours
$15.9m Vol.🔥$258k today$1.5m Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
100%
Anthropic
Which company has the #1 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$801k Vol.
$149k Liq.
🔥$159k today
Ends in about 1 month
$801k Vol.🔥$159k today$149k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
83%
Anthropic
Which company has best AI model end of June?
$2.9m Vol.
$459k Liq.
63
Ends in 3 months
$2.9m Vol.$459k Liq.63Ends in 3 months
66%
Anthropic
Which company has the top AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$1.0m Vol.
$114k Liq.
1
Ends in about 11 hours
$1.0m Vol.$114k Liq.1Ends in about 11 hours
99%
Anthropic
Which company has the #2 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$544k Vol.
$76k Liq.
2
Ends in about 11 hours
$544k Vol.$76k Liq.2Ends in about 11 hours
98%
Anthropic
Which company has the best AI model end of April?
$2.7m Vol.
$468k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$2.7m Vol.$468k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
89%
Anthropic
Which company has the #3 AI model end of March? (Style Control On)
$384k Vol.
$69k Liq.
2
Ends in about 11 hours
$384k Vol.$69k Liq.2Ends in about 11 hours
97%
Which company has the second best AI model end of March?
$621k Vol.
$107k Liq.
1
Ends in about 11 hours
$621k Vol.$107k Liq.1Ends in about 11 hours
99%
Anthropic
Which company has the third best AI model end of March?
$526k Vol.
$96k Liq.
Ends in about 11 hours
$526k Vol.$96k Liq.Ends in about 11 hours
99%
Which company has the third best AI model end of April?
$88k Vol.
$98k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$88k Vol.$98k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
66%
Which company has the #2 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$12k Vol.
$65k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$12k Vol.$65k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
82%
Anthropic
Which company has second best AI model end of June?
$333k Vol.
$121k Liq.
52
Ends in 3 months
$333k Vol.$121k Liq.52Ends in 3 months
50%
Anthropic
Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
$7k Vol.
$37k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$7k Vol.$37k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
40%
Which company has the second best AI model end of April?
$13k Vol.
$89k Liq.
Ends in about 1 month
$13k Vol.$89k Liq.Ends in about 1 month
80%
Anthropic